Swansea vs Birmingham

Sat 30 Jan, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Swansea win · Most likely 39.4%
Draw 28.6%
Birmingham win 32.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 51%
Swansea clean sheet 31%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 26%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.5%
2-18.5%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Swansea
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Birmingham have not lost to Swansea in their last 8 meetings.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two.
  • 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two have ended in a draw.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
20 Sep 25 Birmingham 1–0 Swansea
13 Jan 24 Birmingham 2–2 Swansea
05 Aug 23 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
04 Feb 23 Swansea 3–4 Birmingham
08 Nov 22 Birmingham 2–2 Swansea
19 Mar 22 Swansea 0–0 Birmingham
23 Oct 21 Birmingham 2–1 Swansea
8meetings
  • Swansea win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 5 (62%)
  • Birmingham win · 3 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.88 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 25% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.12 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.38 League avg: 3.82
Swansea avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.31
Birmingham avg. goals 1.62 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Birmingham 1–0 Swansea (20 Sep 25).

Swansea vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Swansea have not won, Birmingham have won 3 times and 5 ended in a draw. Swansea scored 10 goals and Birmingham scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Swansea. Birmingham are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Swansea kept 1 clean sheet and Birmingham kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    58% 3rd of 24 50% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24 0.12 xG a shot 5th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 19th of 24 31% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 21st of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham go more through the air than Swansea, 21% of shots against 14%.
  • Birmingham get more of their chances from set pieces than Swansea, 31% against 21%.
  • Swansea see much more of the ball than Birmingham, 58% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Swansea Birmingham
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Total Shots 151 (15.1 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 58 (5.8 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
774 (86.0 avg) Attacks 783 (87.0 avg)
358 (39.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
87 (8.7 avg) Key Passes 105 (10.5 avg)
5544 (554.4 avg) Passes 4101 (410.1 avg)
4632 (84%) Pass Accuracy 3130 (76%)
60% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Swansea Birmingham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
471 (47.1 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 187 (18.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)