Swansea vs Bristol City

Tue 16 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Swansea win · Most likely 45.1%
Draw 26.6%
Bristol City win 28.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Swansea clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
Bristol City clean sheet 21%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 63%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 41%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.6%
2-19.3%
2-07.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Swansea
  • Bristol City

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Swansea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Bristol City have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Feb 26 Swansea 1–0 Bristol City
22 Nov 25 Bristol City 3–0 Swansea
09 Feb 25 Bristol City 0–1 Swansea
29 Sep 24 Swansea 1–1 Bristol City
10 Mar 24 Bristol City 1–0 Swansea
02 Sep 23 Swansea 1–2 Bristol City
19 Mar 23 Swansea 2–0 Bristol City
29 Oct 22 Bristol City 1–1 Swansea
13 Feb 22 Swansea 3–1 Bristol City
20 Aug 21 Bristol City 0–1 Swansea
10meetings
  • Swansea win · 5 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Bristol City win · 3 (30%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 30% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.70 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 3.82
Swansea avg. goals 1.10 League avg: 1.31
Bristol City avg. goals 0.90 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Bristol City 3–0 Swansea (22 Nov 25).

Swansea vs Bristol City head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Swansea have won 5 times, Bristol City have won 3 times and 2 ended in a draw. Swansea scored 11 goals and Bristol City scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, was won 1-0 by Swansea, at home against Bristol City. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 10 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Swansea kept 4 clean sheets and Bristol City kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    58% 3rd of 24 46% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 20th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 24 25% of shots 2nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Bristol City go more through the air than Swansea, 25% of shots against 15%.
  • Swansea see much more of the ball than Bristol City, 58% against 46%.
  • Bristol City get more of their chances from set pieces than Swansea, 32% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Swansea Bristol City
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 7 (0.7 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 44 (4.4 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
740 (82.2 avg) Attacks 780 (78.0 avg)
339 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 429 (42.9 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Key Passes 98 (9.8 avg)
5222 (522.2 avg) Passes 3845 (384.5 avg)
4293 (82%) Pass Accuracy 2950 (77%)
58% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Swansea Bristol City
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
181 (18.1 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 17 (1.9 avg)
469 (46.9 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 186 (18.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)