Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Sat 01 May, 11:30 UTC · Matchweek 46 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Swansea win 28.4%
Draw 26.6%
Middlesbrough win · Most likely 45.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Swansea clean sheet 21%Avg 28%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 30%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 60%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 38%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.5%
1-29.3%
0-27.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Swansea
  • Middlesbrough

Did you know?

  • Middlesbrough have lost to Swansea just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Swansea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Middlesbrough have picked up just 0.9 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 1.9.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
06 Apr 26 Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough
09 Aug 25 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
08 Mar 25 Swansea 1–0 Middlesbrough
10 Aug 24 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
06 Apr 24 Middlesbrough 2–0 Swansea
16 Dec 23 Swansea 1–2 Middlesbrough
11 Mar 23 Swansea 1–3 Middlesbrough
27 Aug 22 Middlesbrough 2–1 Swansea
23 Apr 22 Swansea 1–1 Middlesbrough
04 Dec 21 Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea
10meetings
  • Swansea win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 2 (20%)
  • Middlesbrough win · 7 (70%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.70 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.82
Swansea avg. goals 0.70 League avg: 1.31
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Middlesbrough 2–0 Swansea (06 Apr 24).

Swansea vs Middlesbrough head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Swansea have won once, Middlesbrough have won 7 times and 2 ended in a draw. Swansea scored 7 goals and Middlesbrough scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 6 Apr 2026, ended 2-2 at Swansea. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Swansea kept 1 clean sheet and Middlesbrough kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    58% 3rd of 24 59% 2nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 20th of 24 23% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 24 14% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Swansea wait for better chances than Middlesbrough, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Swansea Middlesbrough
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Total Shots 201 (20.1 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 68 (6.8 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 64 (6.4 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 66 (6.6 avg)
740 (82.2 avg) Attacks 896 (89.6 avg)
339 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 537 (53.7 avg)
82 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 145 (16.1 avg)
5218 (521.8 avg) Passes 5387 (538.7 avg)
4291 (82%) Pass Accuracy 4678 (87%)
58% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Swansea Middlesbrough
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
181 (18.1 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Fouls 89 (8.9 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
418 (46.4 avg) Duels Won 397 (44.1 avg)
110 (12.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 114 (12.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)