Swansea vs Stoke

Sat 06 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Swansea win · Most likely 49.9%
Draw 27.0%
Stoke win 23.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 51%
Swansea clean sheet 36%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 21%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 50%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.8%
2-19.5%
2-09.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Swansea
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Swansea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Stoke 1–2 Swansea
07 Mar 26 Swansea 2–0 Stoke
13 Dec 25 Stoke 2–1 Swansea
15 Feb 25 Stoke 3–1 Swansea
05 Oct 24 Swansea 0–0 Stoke
10 Apr 24 Swansea 3–0 Stoke
12 Dec 23 Stoke 1–1 Swansea
21 Feb 23 Swansea 1–3 Stoke
31 Aug 22 Stoke 1–1 Swansea
08 Feb 22 Stoke 3–0 Swansea
17 Aug 21 Swansea 1–3 Stoke
11meetings
  • Swansea win · 3 (27%)
  • Draw · 3 (27%)
  • Stoke win · 5 (45%)
Avg. total goals 2.73 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.91 League avg: 3.82
Swansea avg. goals 1.18 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 1.55 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Swansea 3–0 Stoke (10 Apr 24).

Swansea vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Swansea have won 3 times, Stoke have won 5 times and 3 ended in a draw. Swansea scored 13 goals and Stoke scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by Swansea, away at Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 11 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Swansea kept 3 clean sheets and Stoke kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    58% 3rd of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 20th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Swansea wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Swansea see much more of the ball than Stoke, 58% against 47%.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than Swansea, 32% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Swansea Stoke
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
740 (82.2 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
339 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
82 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
5218 (521.8 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
4291 (82%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
58% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Swansea Stoke
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
181 (18.1 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
418 (46.4 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
110 (12.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)