Tamworth vs Carlisle United

Tue 26 Jan, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Tamworth win 32.9%
Draw 23.1%
Carlisle United win · Most likely 44.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 57%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 56%
Tamworth clean sheet 17%Avg 27%
Carlisle United clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.9%
0-17.2%
0-25.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Tamworth
  • Carlisle United

Did you know?

  • Carlisle United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Carlisle United are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Tamworth's last 10 matches.
  • Tamworth's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 26 Tamworth 2–1 Carlisle United
29 Nov 25 Carlisle United 2–1 Tamworth
2meetings
  • Tamworth win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Carlisle United win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 57%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners N/A League avg: 10.00
Avg. total cards 3.00 League avg: 4.03
Tamworth avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.45
Carlisle United avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Tamworth 2–1 Carlisle United (14 Mar 26).

Tamworth vs Carlisle United head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Tamworth have won once, Carlisle United have won once and none ended in a draw. Tamworth scored 3 goals and Carlisle United scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Tamworth, at home against Carlisle United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Tamworth
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
Carlisle United
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    39% 23rd of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.14 xG a shot 16th of 24 0.14 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 6th of 24 27% of xG 12th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    13% of shots 13th of 24 17% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Carlisle United see much more of the ball than Tamworth, 51% against 39%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Tamworth Carlisle United
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
134 (13.4 avg) Total Shots 152 (15.2 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 64 (6.4 avg)
853 (85.3 avg) Attacks 1080 (108.0 avg)
489 (48.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 577 (57.7 avg)
N/A Key Passes N/A
2484 (248.4 avg) Passes 3730 (373.0 avg)
1600 (64%) Pass Accuracy 2856 (77%)
38% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Tamworth Carlisle United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Tackles 24 (2.4 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
N/A Duels Won N/A
N/A Aerial Duels Won N/A

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Tamworth

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Carlisle United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)