Wrexham vs Stoke

Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 39 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Wrexham win · Most likely 49.5%
Draw 27.4%
Stoke win 23.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 51%
Wrexham clean sheet 37%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 22%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.2%
2-19.4%
2-09.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Wrexham
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Wrexham's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Wrexham have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 26 Wrexham 2–0 Stoke
18 Oct 25 Stoke 1–0 Wrexham
2meetings
  • Wrexham win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Stoke win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 1.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 1.50 League avg: 3.82
Wrexham avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Wrexham 2–0 Stoke (18 Apr 26).

Wrexham vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Wrexham have won once, Stoke have won once and none ended in a draw. Wrexham scored 2 goals and Stoke scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Wrexham, at home against Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 2 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Wrexham kept 1 clean sheet and Stoke kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Wrexham
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 14th of 24 47% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 18th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    28% of xG 11th of 24 32% of xG 10th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 4th of 24 19% of shots 11th of 24

Where they differ

  • Wrexham go more through the air than Stoke, 23% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Wrexham Stoke
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
124 (12.4 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
782 (78.2 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
356 (35.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
80 (8.0 avg) Key Passes 89 (8.9 avg)
4265 (426.5 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
3407 (80%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
47% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Wrexham Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
103 (10.3 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
436 (43.6 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 178 (17.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Wrexham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)