Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

2 March 2026 · Championship · 2025/26 · Referee Thomas Kirk

Full time 1 – 3

Half-time: 0–2

  • M. Ducksch 48’
  • M. Targett 13’, 26’
  • D. Strelec 60’

Match summary

Middlesbrough beat Birmingham 3-1 on the road. Middlesbrough led 2-0 at half-time.

In the first half, M. Targett put Middlesbrough ahead in the 13th minute and Targett made it 0-2 in the 26th minute. In the second half, M. Ducksch pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 48th minute and D. Strelec made it 1-3 with a header in the 60th minute.

The chances backed that up: Middlesbrough created 1.01 expected goals (xG) from 10 shots to Birmingham's 0.66 from 11.

Match stats

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 311
75.5% Pass accuracy 69.8%
10 Tackles 15
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
3 Offsides 3

Key events

Birmingham Middlesbrough
T. DoyleShot on target
3’
13’
M. TargettLeft foot shot0-1 (Middlesbrough)
26’
M. TargettLeft foot shot0-2 (Middlesbrough)
C. KlarerShot on target
43’
K. WagnerShot on target
47’
M. DuckschRight foot shot1-2 (Birmingham)
48’
M. DuckschShot on target
54’
T. Iwata
58’
60’
D. StrelecHeader1-3 (Middlesbrough)
61’
M. WhittakerD. Strelec
C. VicenteP. Roberts
64’
A. PriskeJ. Stansfield
65’
66’
T. Conway
S. PaikD. Gray
72’
I. OsmanB. Osayi-Samuel
72’
74’
A. BrowneR. McGree
75’
J. SarmientoT. Conway
E. LairdJ. Panzo
84’
85’
S. Brynn
T. DoyleShot on target
85’
T. DoyleShot on target
89’
90’
C. Brittain
90’
A. GilbertH. Hackney
E. Laird
90’
90’
A. Malanda

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 0.66 1.01 13’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), 0-1 13’ 26’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), 0-2 26’ 48’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), 1-2 48’ 60’ D. Strelec (Middlesbrough), 1-3 60’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 0.66 1.01 13’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), 0-1 Targett 13’ 26’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), 0-2 Targett 26’ 48’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), 1-2 Ducksch 48’ 60’ D. Strelec (Middlesbrough), 1-3 Strelec 60’
Birmingham 0.66 xGMiddlesbrough 1.01 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Middlesbrough attacking Birmingham attacking 
13’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.45 xG, goal 26’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.20 xG, goal 60’ D. Strelec (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.14 xG, goal 48’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.14 xG, goal 10’ D. Gray (Birmingham), open play, 0.13 xG, blocked 42’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 12’ P. Roberts (Birmingham), open play, 0.07 xG, blocked 8’ T. Conway (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.06 xG, blocked 43’ C. Klarer (Birmingham), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 67’ A. Morris (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 47’ K. Wagner (Birmingham), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 54’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 59’ A. Malanda (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 85’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), direct free kick, 0.03 xG, saved 32’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 22’ A. Morris (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 3’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 89’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 21’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 34’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.01 xG, off target 82’ C. Klarer (Birmingham), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 13’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.45 xG, goal 26’ M. Targett (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.20 xG, goal 60’ D. Strelec (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.14 xG, goal 48’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.14 xG, goal 10’ D. Gray (Birmingham), open play, 0.13 xG, blocked 42’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 12’ P. Roberts (Birmingham), open play, 0.07 xG, blocked 8’ T. Conway (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.06 xG, blocked 43’ C. Klarer (Birmingham), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 67’ A. Morris (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 47’ K. Wagner (Birmingham), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 54’ M. Ducksch (Birmingham), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 59’ A. Malanda (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 85’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), direct free kick, 0.03 xG, saved 32’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 3’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 22’ A. Morris (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 89’ T. Doyle (Birmingham), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 21’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 34’ H. Hackney (Middlesbrough), set piece, 0.01 xG, off target 82’ C. Klarer (Birmingham), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1 Starting XI
Beadle
Osayi-Samuel 72’
Klarer
Panzo 84’
Wagner
Iwata
Doyle
Roberts 64’
Ducksch
Gray 72’
Stansfield 65’
Middlesbrough 3-4-1-2 Starting XI
Brynn
Ayling
Fry
Malanda
Brittain
Morris
Hackney 90’
Targett 2
McGree 74’
Strelec
Conway

Player stats

Goalkeeper1 player
J. Beadle
90′ 0 3 44 – – – – –
Defenders5 players
B. Osayi-Samuel
72′ – – – 4 – 33 – – – –
C. Klarer
90′ 2 – – 8 5 60 – – – –
J. Panzo
84′ – 1 – 3 3 57 1 – – –
K. Wagner
90′ 2 1 – 9 3 49 – – – –
E. Laird Came on as a substitute
12′ – – – – – 6 1 – –
Midfielders8 players
T. Iwata
90′ – – 45 1 – – 1 2 2 1
T. Doyle
90′ – – 48 – – 2 3 4 – – –
P. Roberts
64′ – – 26 1 – – 1 1 – – –
M. Ducksch
90′ 1 – 26 – – 1 – 5 2 3 –
D. Gray
72′ – – 21 1 – 1 – 2 1 – –
C. Vicente Came on as a substitute
26′ – – 10 – – 2 – 3 – 1 –
I. Osman Came on as a substitute
18′ – – 7 – – – 1 – – – –
S. Paik Came on as a substitute
18′ – – 16 – – – 1 – 1 – –
Forwards2 players
J. Stansfield
65′ – 1 – – – – 2 – – 11 –
A. Priske Came on as a substitute
25′ – – – – – – – 1 – 3 –
Came on Taken off Sent off Red is the most in that position for the team

Every player who took the pitch, starters first and then substitutes. A dash means none. xG and xA are expected goals and assists. A blank cell means that figure is not available for that player.

Before kick-off

Birmingham win 35% Avg odds 2.66
Draw 27% Avg odds 3.46
Middlesbrough win 38% Avg odds 2.49

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Birmingham WWDWL
Middlesbrough WWLDD

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

 Previous meeting: Middlesbrough 2-1 Birmingham, 08 Nov 25 Next meeting: Birmingham 2-2 Middlesbrough, 19 Sep 26  All Birmingham vs Middlesbrough meetings

Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.