Match summary
Cagliari beat Napoli 1-0 on the road, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Lucas Castro put Cagliari ahead with a header in the 87th minute, set up by Nahitan Nández.
Napoli can feel hard done by, creating 1.89 expected goals (xG) from 30 shots to Cagliari's 0.53 from 5. Napoli had a player sent off.
Before kick-off
Napoli win
81%
Avg odds 1.18
Draw
12%
Avg odds 7.73
Cagliari win
7%
Avg odds 14.79
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.