AC Milan vs Atalanta

Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AC Milan win · Most likely 46.4%
Draw 25.7%
Atalanta win 27.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 47%
AC Milan clean sheet 30%Avg 30%
Atalanta clean sheet 20%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 52%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 39%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.7%
2-19.5%
2-07.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AC Milan
  • Atalanta

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • Atalanta beat AC Milan 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 May 26 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta
28 Oct 25 Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan
20 Apr 25 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta
06 Dec 24 Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan
25 Feb 24 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta
09 Dec 23 Atalanta 3–2 AC Milan
26 Feb 23 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta
21 Aug 22 Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan
15 May 22 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta
03 Oct 21 Atalanta 2–3 AC Milan
23 May 21 Atalanta 0–2 AC Milan
23 Jan 21 AC Milan 0–3 Atalanta
24 Jul 20 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta
22 Dec 19 Atalanta 5–0 AC Milan
16 Feb 19 Atalanta 1–3 AC Milan
23 Sep 18 AC Milan 2–2 Atalanta
16meetings
  • AC Milan win · 5 (31%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • Atalanta win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 3.06 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 31% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 8.81 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 3.77
AC Milan avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.25
Atalanta avg. goals 1.62 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: Atalanta 5–0 AC Milan (22 Dec 19).

AC Milan vs Atalanta head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, AC Milan have won 5 times, Atalanta have won 6 times and 5 ended in a draw. AC Milan scored 23 goals and Atalanta scored 26 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 May 2026, was won 3-2 by Atalanta, away at AC Milan. Atalanta are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 3 clean sheets and Atalanta kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Atalanta
11 (1.8 avg) Goals 8 (1.3 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Total Shots 81 (13.5 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 28 (4.7 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 22 (3.7 avg)
19 (3.2 avg) Corners 22 (3.7 avg)
570 (95.0 avg) Attacks 578 (96.3 avg)
268 (44.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 242 (40.3 avg)
65 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 62 (10.3 avg)
3486 (581.0 avg) Passes 2901 (483.5 avg)
3105 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2543 (88%)
60% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Atalanta
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.3 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 5 (0.8 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Tackles 74 (12.3 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
7 (1.2 avg) Offsides 5 (0.8 avg)
273 (45.5 avg) Duels Won 203 (33.8 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 43 (7.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Atalanta

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)