Atalanta vs AC Milan

Sun 21 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atalanta win · Most likely 38.1%
Draw 26.0%
AC Milan win 35.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 47%
Atalanta clean sheet 25%Avg 30%
AC Milan clean sheet 24%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 65%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 43%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-08.8%
2-18.5%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atalanta
  • AC Milan

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • Atalanta beat AC Milan 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 May 26 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta
28 Oct 25 Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan
20 Apr 25 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta
06 Dec 24 Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan
25 Feb 24 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta
09 Dec 23 Atalanta 3–2 AC Milan
26 Feb 23 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta
21 Aug 22 Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan
15 May 22 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta
03 Oct 21 Atalanta 2–3 AC Milan
23 May 21 Atalanta 0–2 AC Milan
23 Jan 21 AC Milan 0–3 Atalanta
24 Jul 20 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta
22 Dec 19 Atalanta 5–0 AC Milan
16 Feb 19 Atalanta 1–3 AC Milan
23 Sep 18 AC Milan 2–2 Atalanta
16meetings
  • Atalanta win · 6 (38%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • AC Milan win · 5 (31%)
Avg. total goals 3.06 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 31% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 8.81 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 3.77
Atalanta avg. goals 1.62 League avg: 1.25
AC Milan avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: Atalanta 5–0 AC Milan (22 Dec 19).

Atalanta vs AC Milan head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Atalanta have won 6 times, AC Milan have won 5 times and 5 ended in a draw. Atalanta scored 26 goals and AC Milan scored 23 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 May 2026, was won 3-2 by Atalanta, away at AC Milan. Atalanta are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Atalanta kept 3 clean sheets and AC Milan kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atalanta AC Milan
8 (1.3 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 75 (12.5 avg)
28 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 27 (4.5 avg)
22 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
22 (3.7 avg) Corners 19 (3.2 avg)
578 (96.3 avg) Attacks 570 (95.0 avg)
242 (40.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (44.7 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
2901 (483.5 avg) Passes 3486 (581.0 avg)
2543 (88%) Pass Accuracy 3105 (89%)
46% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atalanta AC Milan
2 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
5 (0.8 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
74 (12.3 avg) Tackles 91 (15.2 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
5 (0.8 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
203 (33.8 avg) Duels Won 273 (45.5 avg)
43 (7.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atalanta

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)