Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Sun 01 Nov, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 11 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Athletic Bilbao win · Most likely 53.2%
Draw 25.7%
Real Sociedad win 21.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 50%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 36%Avg 30%
Real Sociedad clean sheet 18%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 69%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Real Sociedad

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Real Sociedad have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao beat Real Sociedad 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

16meetings
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 5 (31%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Real Sociedad win · 7 (44%)
Avg. total goals 2.56 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.25 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 5.88 League avg: 4.63
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.36
Real Sociedad avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 4–0 Real Sociedad (20 Feb 22).

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Athletic Bilbao have won 5 times, Real Sociedad have won 7 times and 4 ended in a draw. Athletic Bilbao scored 20 goals and Real Sociedad scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Athletic Bilbao. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao kept 5 clean sheets and Real Sociedad kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 12 (1.5 avg)
103 (14.7 avg) Total Shots 107 (13.4 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 40 (5.0 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (4.4 avg)
43 (6.1 avg) Corners 58 (7.2 avg)
714 (102.0 avg) Attacks 740 (92.5 avg)
370 (52.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 344 (43.0 avg)
74 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 80 (10.0 avg)
3450 (492.9 avg) Passes 3621 (452.6 avg)
2929 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3070 (85%)
54% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.4 avg)
15 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (2.1 avg)
112 (16.0 avg) Tackles 142 (17.8 avg)
79 (11.3 avg) Fouls 101 (12.6 avg)
8 (1.1 avg) Offsides 13 (1.9 avg)
330 (47.1 avg) Duels Won 367 (45.9 avg)
88 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (11.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Real Sociedad

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)