Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Sun 02 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad win · Most likely 38.3%
Draw 28.3%
Athletic Bilbao win 33.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 50%
Real Sociedad clean sheet 29%Avg 30%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 26%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 79%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 68%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.8%
2-18.6%
2-06.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Real Sociedad
  • Athletic Bilbao

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao beat Real Sociedad 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

16meetings
  • Real Sociedad win · 7 (44%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 5 (31%)
Avg. total goals 2.56 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.25 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 5.88 League avg: 4.63
Real Sociedad avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.36
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 4–0 Real Sociedad (20 Feb 22).

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Real Sociedad have won 7 times, Athletic Bilbao have won 5 times and 4 ended in a draw. Real Sociedad scored 21 goals and Athletic Bilbao scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Athletic Bilbao. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Real Sociedad kept 3 clean sheets and Athletic Bilbao kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao
12 (1.5 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
107 (13.4 avg) Total Shots 103 (14.7 avg)
40 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 30 (4.3 avg)
35 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
58 (7.2 avg) Corners 43 (6.1 avg)
740 (92.5 avg) Attacks 714 (102.0 avg)
344 (43.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 370 (52.9 avg)
80 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 74 (10.6 avg)
3621 (452.6 avg) Passes 3450 (492.9 avg)
3070 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2929 (85%)
48% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao
3 (0.4 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.1 avg)
142 (17.8 avg) Tackles 112 (16.0 avg)
101 (12.6 avg) Fouls 79 (11.3 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Offsides 8 (1.1 avg)
367 (45.9 avg) Duels Won 330 (47.1 avg)
88 (11.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Real Sociedad

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)