Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Matchweek 6 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen win · Most likely 61.8%

Draw 21.4%

Freiburg win 16.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%

Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 82%

Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 62%

Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet 33%Avg 26%

Freiburg clean sheet 11%Avg 21%

Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 62%

Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 52%

Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%

Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%

2-08.8%

1-07.9%

Team comparison

Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg

Did you know?

Bayer Leverkusen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
Freiburg's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
Freiburg have outscored their xG by 0.60 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 26	Freiburg	3–3	Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 25	Bayer Leverkusen	2–0	Freiburg
04 May 25	Freiburg	2–2	Bayer Leverkusen
21 Dec 24	Bayer Leverkusen	5–1	Freiburg
17 Mar 24	Freiburg	2–3	Bayer Leverkusen
29 Oct 23	Bayer Leverkusen	2–1	Freiburg
26 Feb 23	Freiburg	1–1	Bayer Leverkusen
03 Sep 22	Bayer Leverkusen	2–3	Freiburg
14 May 22	Bayer Leverkusen	2–1	Freiburg
19 Dec 21	Freiburg	2–1	Bayer Leverkusen
28 Feb 21	Bayer Leverkusen	1–2	Freiburg
01 Nov 20	Freiburg	2–4	Bayer Leverkusen
29 May 20	Freiburg	0–1	Bayer Leverkusen
23 Nov 19	Bayer Leverkusen	1–1	Freiburg
02 Mar 19	Bayer Leverkusen	2–0	Freiburg
07 Oct 18	Freiburg	0–0	Bayer Leverkusen

16meetings

Bayer Leverkusen win · 8 (50%)
Draw · 5 (31%)
Freiburg win · 3 (19%)

Avg. total goals 3.31 League avg: 3.20

Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 62%

Both teams to score 75% League avg: 59%

Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%

Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 9.96

Avg. total cards 3.38 League avg: 3.82

Bayer Leverkusen avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60

Freiburg avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Bayer Leverkusen 5–1 Freiburg (21 Dec 24).

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 8 times, Freiburg have won 3 times and 5 ended in a draw. Bayer Leverkusen scored 32 goals and Freiburg scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, ended 3-3 at Freiburg. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 12 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Bayer Leverkusen kept 4 clean sheets and Freiburg kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

14 (2.8 avg) Goals 14 (2.8 avg)

106 (21.2 avg) Total Shots 86 (17.2 avg)

32 (6.4 avg) Shots on Target 30 (6.0 avg)

26 (5.2 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (5.2 avg)

40 (8.0 avg) Corners 28 (5.6 avg)

523 (104.6 avg) Attacks 444 (88.8 avg)

296 (59.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 192 (38.4 avg)

76 (15.2 avg) Key Passes 62 (12.4 avg)

2746 (549.2 avg) Passes 2279 (455.8 avg)

2403 (88%) Pass Accuracy 1908 (84%)

60% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)

8 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (2.0 avg)

69 (13.8 avg) Tackles 58 (11.6 avg)

62 (12.4 avg) Fouls 50 (10.0 avg)

7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 4 (0.8 avg)

191 (38.2 avg) Duels Won 269 (53.8 avg)

39 (7.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 94 (18.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bayer Leverkusen

1.5Goals

Under · 0 (0%)
Over · 10 (100%)

7.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

2.5Goals

Under · 2 (20%)
Over · 8 (80%)

8.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

3.5Goals

Under · 4 (40%)
Over · 6 (60%)

9.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

Yes · 2 (20%)
No · 8 (80%)

BTTS

Yes · 8 (80%)
No · 2 (20%)

Freiburg

1.5Goals

Under · 1 (10%)
Over · 9 (90%)

7.5Corners

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

2.5Goals

Under · 2 (20%)
Over · 8 (80%)

8.5Corners

Under · 6 (60%)
Over · 4 (40%)

3.5Goals

Under · 4 (40%)
Over · 6 (60%)

9.5Corners

Under · 9 (90%)
Over · 1 (10%)

Yes · 2 (20%)
No · 8 (80%)

BTTS

Yes · 7 (70%)
No · 3 (30%)

Match Outlook

Bayer Leverkusen (4th, 10 points) welcome Freiburg (1st, 13 points). Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWL), scoring 14 and conceding 8, and have won 6 of their last 10 at home. Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5 without defeat (WDWWW), scoring 14 and conceding 4, and have won 3 of their last 10 on the road. Freiburg are without Yuito Suzuki (top scorer, 4 goals), plus 3 other absentees. Bayer Leverkusen have no key players missing. The main goal threats are Patrik Schick (5 goals) for Bayer Leverkusen and Igor Matanovic (3 goals) for Freiburg. Bayer Leverkusen go in as clear favourites (Bayer Leverkusen win 62%, draw 21%, Freiburg win 17%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 2-1 the most likely score.

Freiburg Unavailable Yuito Suzuki top scorer, 4 goals