Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Freiburg win · Most likely 37.3%
Draw 26.1%
Bayer Leverkusen win 36.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 62%
Freiburg clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.5%
1-07.3%
2-05.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Freiburg
  • Bayer Leverkusen

Did you know?

  • Bayer Leverkusen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Freiburg have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Freiburg's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Freiburg have outscored their xG by 0.60 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 25 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Freiburg
04 May 25 Freiburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen
21 Dec 24 Bayer Leverkusen 5–1 Freiburg
17 Mar 24 Freiburg 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen
29 Oct 23 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg
26 Feb 23 Freiburg 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen
03 Sep 22 Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 Freiburg
14 May 22 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg
19 Dec 21 Freiburg 2–1 Bayer Leverkusen
28 Feb 21 Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Freiburg
01 Nov 20 Freiburg 2–4 Bayer Leverkusen
29 May 20 Freiburg 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen
23 Nov 19 Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Freiburg
02 Mar 19 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Freiburg
07 Oct 18 Freiburg 0–0 Bayer Leverkusen
16meetings
  • Freiburg win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen win · 8 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.31 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.38 League avg: 3.82
Freiburg avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.60
Bayer Leverkusen avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Bayer Leverkusen 5–1 Freiburg (21 Dec 24).

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Freiburg have won 3 times, Bayer Leverkusen have won 8 times and 5 ended in a draw. Freiburg scored 21 goals and Bayer Leverkusen scored 32 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, ended 3-3 at Freiburg. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 12 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Freiburg kept 1 clean sheet and Bayer Leverkusen kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Freiburg Bayer Leverkusen
14 (2.8 avg) Goals 14 (2.8 avg)
86 (17.2 avg) Total Shots 106 (21.2 avg)
30 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 32 (6.4 avg)
26 (5.2 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (5.2 avg)
28 (5.6 avg) Corners 40 (8.0 avg)
444 (88.8 avg) Attacks 523 (104.6 avg)
192 (38.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 296 (59.2 avg)
62 (12.4 avg) Key Passes 76 (15.2 avg)
2279 (455.8 avg) Passes 2746 (549.2 avg)
1908 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2403 (88%)
53% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Freiburg Bayer Leverkusen
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 8 (1.6 avg)
58 (11.6 avg) Tackles 69 (13.8 avg)
50 (10.0 avg) Fouls 62 (12.4 avg)
4 (0.8 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
269 (53.8 avg) Duels Won 191 (38.2 avg)
94 (18.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 39 (7.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Freiburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Bayer Leverkusen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)