Birmingham vs Watford

Tue 08 Dec, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Birmingham win · Most likely 60.7%
Draw 23.2%
Watford win 16.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 51%
Birmingham clean sheet 40%Avg 28%
Watford clean sheet 15%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.4%
2-010.8%
2-110.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Birmingham
  • Watford

Did you know?

  • Watford have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Birmingham have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Birmingham's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Jan 26 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
01 Dec 25 Birmingham 2–1 Watford
16 Mar 24 Birmingham 0–1 Watford
16 Sep 23 Watford 2–0 Birmingham
14 Mar 23 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
16 Aug 22 Birmingham 1–1 Watford
6meetings
  • Birmingham win · 1 (17%)
  • Draw · 1 (17%)
  • Watford win · 4 (67%)
Avg. total goals 2.33 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.82
Birmingham avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31
Watford avg. goals 1.83 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Watford 3–0 Birmingham (01 Jan 26).

Birmingham vs Watford head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Birmingham have won once, Watford have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Birmingham scored 3 goals and Watford scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Jan 2026, was won 3-0 by Watford, at home against Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Watford kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 10th of 24 45% 21st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 9th of 24 23% of xG 13th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 8th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Watford, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Birmingham go more through the air than Watford, 21% of shots against 14%.
  • Birmingham see much more of the ball than Watford, 51% against 45%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Watford
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Total Shots 119 (11.9 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 39 (3.9 avg)
793 (88.1 avg) Attacks 754 (75.4 avg)
401 (44.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 342 (34.2 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 73 (8.1 avg)
4236 (423.6 avg) Passes 3904 (390.4 avg)
3248 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3161 (81%)
52% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Watford
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
436 (48.4 avg) Duels Won 412 (45.8 avg)
165 (18.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (14.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)