Bolton Wanderers vs Derby

Sat 30 Jan, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bolton Wanderers win · Most likely 37.0%

Draw 26.3%

Derby win 36.7%

Limited history for Bolton Wanderers. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%

Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 75%

Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 51%

Bolton Wanderers clean sheet 23%Avg 28%

Derby clean sheet 23%Avg 22%

Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 66%

Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 54%

Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%

Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%

1-07.7%

2-05.6%

Team comparison

Bolton Wanderers
Derby

Did you know?

Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
Both teams have scored in 7 of Bolton Wanderers's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Nov 26	Derby	3–1	Bolton Wanderers

1meetings

Bolton Wanderers win · 0 (0%)
Draw · 0 (0%)
Derby win · 1 (100%)

Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.61

Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%

Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%

Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 43%

Avg. total corners N/A League avg: 10.31

Avg. total cards N/A League avg: 3.82

Bolton Wanderers avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Derby avg. goals 3.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 3–1 Bolton Wanderers (06 Nov 26).

Bolton Wanderers vs Derby head to head: in their only meeting on file, Bolton Wanderers have not won, Derby have won once and none ended in a draw. Bolton Wanderers scored 1 goal and Derby scored 3 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 6 Nov 2026, was won 3-1 by Derby, at home against Bolton Wanderers. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bolton Wanderers

Open play side

Derby

Shoots on sight
Set piece heavy

Possession

Cedes the ballKeeps the ball

51% 9th of 24 48% 17th of 24
Shot selection

Shoots on sightWaits for the chance

0.09 xG a shot 17th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
Set pieces

Open playSet pieces

16% of xG 24th of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
Route to goal

On the groundCrosses and headers

16% of shots 17th of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than Bolton Wanderers, 36% against 16%.
Bolton Wanderers see much more of the ball than Derby, 51% against 48%.
Derby go more through the air than Bolton Wanderers, 20% of shots against 16%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

16 (1.6 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)

142 (14.2 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)

49 (4.9 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)

44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)

46 (4.6 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)

818 (81.8 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)

438 (43.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)

105 (10.5 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)

4218 (421.8 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)

3427 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)

49% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)

17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)

161 (16.1 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)

102 (10.2 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)

14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)

436 (43.6 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)

134 (13.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bolton Wanderers

1.5Goals

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

7.5Corners

Under · 2 (22%)
Over · 7 (78%)

2.5Goals

Under · 3 (30%)
Over · 7 (70%)

8.5Corners

Under · 4 (44%)
Over · 5 (56%)

3.5Goals

Under · 4 (40%)
Over · 6 (60%)

9.5Corners

Under · 4 (44%)
Over · 5 (56%)

Yes · 3 (30%)
No · 7 (70%)

BTTS

Yes · 7 (70%)
No · 3 (30%)

Derby