Brighton vs Man City

Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Brighton win 33.7%
Draw 27.3%
Man City win · Most likely 39.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 56%
Brighton clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Man City clean sheet 24%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 64%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.8%
0-17.3%
0-26.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Brighton
  • Man City

Did you know?

  • Man City have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Brighton beat Man City 0-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Man City have won their last 7 matches in a row.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Jan 26 Man City 1–1 Brighton
31 Aug 25 Brighton 2–1 Man City
15 Mar 25 Man City 2–2 Brighton
09 Nov 24 Brighton 2–1 Man City
25 Apr 24 Brighton 0–4 Man City
21 Oct 23 Man City 2–1 Brighton
24 May 23 Brighton 1–1 Man City
22 Oct 22 Man City 3–1 Brighton
20 Apr 22 Man City 3–0 Brighton
23 Oct 21 Brighton 1–4 Man City
18 May 21 Brighton 3–2 Man City
13 Jan 21 Man City 1–0 Brighton
11 Jul 20 Brighton 0–5 Man City
31 Aug 19 Man City 4–0 Brighton
12 May 19 Brighton 1–4 Man City
29 Sep 18 Man City 2–0 Brighton
16meetings
  • Brighton win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Man City win · 10 (62%)
Avg. total goals 3.44 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.56 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.81 League avg: 3.91
Brighton avg. goals 0.94 League avg: 1.42
Man City avg. goals 2.50 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 0–5 Man City (11 Jul 20).

Brighton vs Man City head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Brighton have won 3 times, Man City have won 10 times and 3 ended in a draw. Brighton scored 15 goals and Man City scored 40 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Man City. Brighton are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 12 had over 2.5 goals. Man City kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Brighton Man City
18 (3.0 avg) Goals 19 (2.7 avg)
108 (18.0 avg) Total Shots 102 (14.6 avg)
33 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 37 (5.3 avg)
21 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (4.1 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Corners 39 (5.6 avg)
642 (107.0 avg) Attacks 829 (118.4 avg)
327 (54.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 397 (56.7 avg)
70 (11.7 avg) Key Passes 78 (11.1 avg)
3042 (507.0 avg) Passes 4434 (633.4 avg)
2599 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3967 (89%)
60% Ball Possession 64%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Brighton Man City
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 9 (1.3 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Tackles 87 (12.4 avg)
76 (12.7 avg) Fouls 75 (10.7 avg)
12 (2.4 avg) Offsides 13 (1.9 avg)
282 (47.0 avg) Duels Won 347 (49.6 avg)
111 (18.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 96 (13.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Man City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)