Burton Albion vs Luton

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burton Albion win 26.8%
Draw 27.8%
Luton win · Most likely 45.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 51%
Burton Albion clean sheet 22%Avg 30%
Luton clean sheet 32%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 62%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 40%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.3%
1-29.3%
0-28.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burton Albion
  • Luton

Did you know?

  • Luton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Luton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Burton Albion have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Feb 26 Luton 1–1 Burton Albion
30 Aug 25 Burton Albion 0–3 Luton
2meetings
  • Burton Albion win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Luton win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 8.50 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.78
Burton Albion avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31
Luton avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burton Albion 0–3 Luton (30 Aug 25).

Burton Albion vs Luton head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Burton Albion have not won, Luton have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Burton Albion scored 1 goal and Luton scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Luton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Luton kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burton Albion
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
Luton
  • Selective shooters
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 16th of 24 54% 7th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 20th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 7th of 24 25% of xG 18th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 24 15% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Luton wait for better chances than Burton Albion, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Burton Albion get more of their chances from set pieces than Luton, 35% against 25%.
  • Luton see much more of the ball than Burton Albion, 54% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burton Albion Luton
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Total Shots 159 (15.9 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 53 (5.3 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 53 (5.3 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 65 (6.5 avg)
737 (73.7 avg) Attacks 668 (66.8 avg)
380 (38.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 303 (30.3 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Key Passes 122 (12.2 avg)
3772 (377.2 avg) Passes 4283 (428.3 avg)
2760 (73%) Pass Accuracy 3361 (78%)
49% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burton Albion Luton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
171 (17.1 avg) Tackles 146 (14.6 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
8 (0.8 avg) Offsides 14 (1.6 avg)
551 (55.1 avg) Duels Won 535 (53.5 avg)
188 (18.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 210 (21.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burton Albion

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Luton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)