Chelsea vs Brentford

Sun 30 May, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win · Most likely 48.2%
Draw 25.4%
Brentford win 26.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 26%Avg 27%
Brentford clean sheet 16%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.1%
2-06.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Brentford

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Brentford have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Sep 26 Brentford 3–0 Chelsea
17 Jan 26 Chelsea 2–0 Brentford
13 Sep 25 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
06 Apr 25 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
15 Dec 24 Chelsea 2–1 Brentford
02 Mar 24 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea
28 Oct 23 Chelsea 0–2 Brentford
26 Apr 23 Chelsea 0–2 Brentford
19 Oct 22 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea
02 Apr 22 Chelsea 1–4 Brentford
16 Oct 21 Brentford 0–1 Chelsea
11meetings
  • Chelsea win · 3 (27%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • Brentford win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.36 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 45% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 36% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 27% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 11.09 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.00 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 0.91 League avg: 1.42
Brentford avg. goals 1.45 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brentford 3–0 Chelsea (18 Sep 26).

Chelsea vs Brentford head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Chelsea have won 3 times, Brentford have won 4 times and 4 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 10 goals and Brentford scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Sep 2026, was won 3-0 by Brentford, at home against Chelsea. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 11 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 4 clean sheets and Brentford kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Brentford
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 13 (1.9 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 105 (15.0 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 29 (4.1 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (4.9 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 27 (3.9 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 678 (96.9 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 353 (50.4 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 70 (10.0 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 2557 (365.3 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 1973 (77%)
48% Ball Possession 45%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Brentford
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.3 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.9 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 117 (16.7 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 103 (14.7 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 8 (1.1 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 365 (52.1 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 137 (19.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Brentford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)