Chelsea vs Leeds

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 11 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win · Most likely 46.0%
Draw 26.7%
Leeds win 27.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 27%Avg 27%
Leeds clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.4%
1-07.4%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Leeds

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Feb 26 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds
03 Dec 25 Leeds 3–1 Chelsea
04 Mar 23 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds
21 Aug 22 Leeds 3–0 Chelsea
11 May 22 Leeds 0–3 Chelsea
11 Dec 21 Chelsea 3–2 Leeds
13 Mar 21 Leeds 0–0 Chelsea
05 Dec 20 Chelsea 3–1 Leeds
8meetings
  • Chelsea win · 4 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Leeds win · 2 (25%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.88 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 1.62 League avg: 1.42
Leeds avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Leeds 3–0 Chelsea (21 Aug 22).

Chelsea vs Leeds head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Chelsea have won 4 times, Leeds have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 13 goals and Leeds scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Feb 2026, ended 2-2 at Chelsea. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 3 clean sheets and Leeds kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Leeds
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 8 (1.3 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 72 (12.0 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 23 (3.8 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 27 (4.5 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 566 (94.3 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 209 (34.8 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 41 (6.8 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 2157 (359.5 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 1666 (77%)
48% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Leeds
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 11 (1.8 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 99 (16.5 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 73 (12.2 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 15 (2.5 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 342 (57.0 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (21.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Leeds

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)