Leeds vs Chelsea

Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Leeds win · Most likely 39.1%
Draw 27.4%
Chelsea win 33.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 56%
Leeds clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Chelsea clean sheet 22%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
1-07.5%
2-06.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Leeds
  • Chelsea

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Feb 26 Chelsea 2–2 Leeds
03 Dec 25 Leeds 3–1 Chelsea
04 Mar 23 Chelsea 1–0 Leeds
21 Aug 22 Leeds 3–0 Chelsea
11 May 22 Leeds 0–3 Chelsea
11 Dec 21 Chelsea 3–2 Leeds
13 Mar 21 Leeds 0–0 Chelsea
05 Dec 20 Chelsea 3–1 Leeds
8meetings
  • Leeds win · 2 (25%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Chelsea win · 4 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.88 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.91
Leeds avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42
Chelsea avg. goals 1.62 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Leeds 3–0 Chelsea (21 Aug 22).

Leeds vs Chelsea head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Leeds have won 2 times, Chelsea have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Leeds scored 11 goals and Chelsea scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Feb 2026, ended 2-2 at Chelsea. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Leeds kept 2 clean sheets and Chelsea kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Leeds Chelsea
8 (1.3 avg) Goals 17 (2.4 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Total Shots 100 (14.3 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 39 (5.6 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (4.3 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 41 (5.9 avg)
566 (94.3 avg) Attacks 653 (93.3 avg)
209 (34.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
41 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 76 (10.9 avg)
2157 (359.5 avg) Passes 2985 (426.4 avg)
1666 (77%) Pass Accuracy 2492 (83%)
44% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Leeds Chelsea
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
11 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.9 avg)
99 (16.5 avg) Tackles 108 (15.4 avg)
73 (12.2 avg) Fouls 65 (9.3 avg)
15 (2.5 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
342 (57.0 avg) Duels Won 348 (49.7 avg)
126 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Leeds

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)