Chelsea vs Newcastle

Sun 03 Jan, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win · Most likely 52.2%
Draw 24.7%
Newcastle win 23.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 29%Avg 26%
Newcastle clean sheet 15%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.8%
2-07.6%
1-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Newcastle

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 26 Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle
20 Dec 25 Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea
11 May 25 Newcastle 2–0 Chelsea
27 Oct 24 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle
11 Mar 24 Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle
25 Nov 23 Newcastle 4–1 Chelsea
28 May 23 Chelsea 1–1 Newcastle
12 Nov 22 Newcastle 1–0 Chelsea
13 Mar 22 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle
30 Oct 21 Newcastle 0–3 Chelsea
15 Feb 21 Chelsea 2–0 Newcastle
21 Nov 20 Newcastle 0–2 Chelsea
18 Jan 20 Newcastle 1–0 Chelsea
19 Oct 19 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle
12 Jan 19 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle
26 Aug 18 Newcastle 1–2 Chelsea
16meetings
  • Chelsea win · 9 (56%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Newcastle win · 5 (31%)
Avg. total goals 2.44 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 44% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42
Newcastle avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 4–1 Chelsea (25 Nov 23).

Chelsea vs Newcastle head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Chelsea have won 9 times, Newcastle have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 22 goals and Newcastle scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, was won 1-0 by Newcastle, away at Chelsea. Newcastle are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 5 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Newcastle
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 10 (1.4 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 85 (12.1 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 25 (3.6 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (3.6 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 32 (4.6 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 596 (85.1 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (45.1 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 67 (9.6 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 2991 (427.3 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2503 (84%)
48% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Newcastle
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (2.7 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 96 (13.7 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 85 (12.1 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 19 (2.7 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 335 (47.9 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)