Derby vs Lincoln City

Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win · Most likely 41.5%
Draw 28.4%
Lincoln City win 30.1%

Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 32%Avg 28%
Lincoln City clean sheet 25%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.8%
2-18.8%
2-07.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • Lincoln City

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Derby's last 10 matches.

H2H

These two have no meetings in the stored history. At least one of them is newly promoted.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Lincoln City
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 15th of 24 37% 24th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 38% of xG 3rd of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 24% of shots 3rd of 24

Where they differ

  • Lincoln City wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Derby see much more of the ball than Lincoln City, 48% against 37%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby Lincoln City
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 114 (11.4 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (3.4 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 29 (2.9 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks 662 (73.6 avg)
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 375 (41.7 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 72 (7.2 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 2897 (289.7 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 1968 (68%)
48% Ball Possession 38%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby Lincoln City
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 120 (12.0 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 497 (49.7 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 208 (20.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Lincoln City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)