Derby vs Preston

Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 39 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win · Most likely 41.6%
Draw 28.0%
Preston win 30.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 31%Avg 28%
Preston clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.3%
2-18.9%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • Preston

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Derby's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Preston 0–1 Derby
20 Sep 25 Derby 0–1 Preston
02 Apr 25 Derby 2–0 Preston
23 Nov 24 Preston 1–1 Derby
02 Apr 22 Derby 1–0 Preston
16 Oct 21 Preston 0–0 Derby
6meetings
  • Derby win · 3 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (33%)
  • Preston win · 1 (17%)
Avg. total goals 1.17 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 17% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.17 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 3.82
Derby avg. goals 0.83 League avg: 1.31
Preston avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 2–0 Preston (02 Apr 25).

Derby vs Preston head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Derby have won 3 times, Preston have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Derby scored 5 goals and Preston scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 1-0 by Derby, away at Preston. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 6 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Derby kept 4 clean sheets and Preston kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Preston
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 15th of 24 40% 23rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 37% of xG 4th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 25% of shots 1st of 24

Where they differ

  • Preston wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Derby see much more of the ball than Preston, 48% against 40%.
  • Preston go more through the air than Derby, 25% of shots against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby Preston
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 8 (0.8 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 23 (2.3 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks 730 (81.1 avg)
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 350 (38.9 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 71 (7.9 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 2868 (286.8 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 1973 (69%)
48% Ball Possession 37%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby Preston
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 436 (48.4 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 185 (20.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Preston

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)