Derby vs QPR

Tue 16 Feb, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win 33.3%
Draw 30.2%
QPR win · Most likely 36.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 67%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 40%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
QPR clean sheet 32%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.4%
1-27.9%
0-26.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • QPR

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • QPR's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Oct 26 QPR 4–1 Derby
25 Apr 26 QPR 2–3 Derby
25 Oct 25 Derby 1–0 QPR
14 Feb 25 QPR 4–0 Derby
05 Oct 24 Derby 2–0 QPR
18 Apr 22 QPR 1–0 Derby
29 Nov 21 Derby 1–2 QPR
7meetings
  • Derby win · 3 (43%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • QPR win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 57% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 71% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.00 League avg: 3.82
Derby avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.31
QPR avg. goals 1.86 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: QPR 4–0 Derby (14 Feb 25).

Derby vs QPR head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Derby have won 3 times, QPR have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Derby scored 8 goals and QPR scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Oct 2026, was won 4-1 by QPR, at home against Derby. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Derby kept 2 clean sheets and QPR kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
QPR
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 15th of 24 50% 11th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.10 xG a shot 16th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 22% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 14% of shots 22nd of 24

Where they differ

  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than QPR, 36% against 22%.
  • Derby go more through the air than QPR, 20% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby QPR
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 145 (14.5 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks N/A
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 96 (10.7 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 4735 (473.5 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 4046 (85%)
48% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby QPR
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 125 (12.5 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 354 (39.3 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 91 (10.1 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

QPR

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)