Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel

Sat 13 Mar, 10:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Dresden win · Most likely 45.8%
Draw 25.8%
Holstein Kiel win 28.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 58%
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet 28%Avg 28%
Holstein Kiel clean sheet 19%Avg 18%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 73%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.3%
1-08.5%
2-07.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Dynamo Dresden
  • Holstein Kiel

Did you know?

  • Holstein Kiel have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Dynamo Dresden's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 meetings.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Oct 26 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden
17 May 26 Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel
20 Dec 25 Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden
16 Apr 22 Dynamo Dresden 0–0 Holstein Kiel
05 Nov 21 Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden
5meetings
  • Dynamo Dresden win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Holstein Kiel win · 3 (60%)
Avg. total goals 2.40 League avg: 2.95
Over 2.5 goals 80% League avg: 58%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 80% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 12.40 League avg: 10.37
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 4.51
Dynamo Dresden avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.47
Holstein Kiel avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.47

Biggest win: Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden (25 Oct 26).

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Dynamo Dresden have won once, Holstein Kiel have won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw. Dynamo Dresden scored 4 goals and Holstein Kiel scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Oct 2026, was won 3-0 by Holstein Kiel, at home against Dynamo Dresden. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Dynamo Dresden kept 1 clean sheet and Holstein Kiel kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Dynamo Dresden
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Holstein Kiel
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 4th of 18 54% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 12th of 18 27% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    13% of shots 15th of 18 21% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Holstein Kiel go more through the air than Dynamo Dresden, 21% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Total Shots 140 (14.0 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
562 (80.3 avg) Attacks 576 (82.3 avg)
250 (35.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (38.3 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
5464 (546.4 avg) Passes 4648 (464.8 avg)
4577 (84%) Pass Accuracy 3808 (82%)
54% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 31 (3.1 avg)
139 (13.9 avg) Tackles 164 (16.4 avg)
93 (9.3 avg) Fouls 138 (13.8 avg)
17 (2.1 avg) Offsides 8 (0.8 avg)
428 (42.8 avg) Duels Won 512 (51.2 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 167 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Dynamo Dresden

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Holstein Kiel

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)