Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Sat 02 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hearts win · Most likely 62.8%
Draw 20.0%
Kilmarnock win 17.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 56%
Hearts clean sheet 34%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 12%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
1-09.3%
2-09.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hearts
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • Hearts's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Hearts have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.61 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts
14 Mar 26 Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts
03 Dec 25 Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock
18 Oct 25 Kilmarnock 0–3 Hearts
18 May 25 Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts
25 Jan 25 Hearts 3–2 Kilmarnock
15 Dec 24 Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts
30 Oct 24 Hearts 1–2 Kilmarnock
27 Apr 24 Kilmarnock 0–0 Hearts
30 Mar 24 Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock
02 Dec 23 Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts
13 Aug 23 Hearts 0–0 Kilmarnock
01 Apr 23 Kilmarnock 2–1 Hearts
17 Dec 22 Hearts 3–1 Kilmarnock
09 Oct 22 Kilmarnock 2–2 Hearts
15meetings
  • Hearts win · 5 (33%)
  • Draw · 6 (40%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 4 (27%)
Avg. total goals 2.13 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 53% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.87 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.07 League avg: 4.00
Hearts avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.44
Kilmarnock avg. goals 0.93 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Kilmarnock 0–3 Hearts (18 Oct 25).

Hearts vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Hearts have won 5 times, Kilmarnock have won 4 times and 6 ended in a draw. Hearts scored 18 goals and Kilmarnock scored 14 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 15 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Hearts kept 5 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Hearts
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Kilmarnock
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 3rd of 12 47% 10th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    31% of xG 4th of 12 24% of xG 8th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 5th of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

  • Hearts see much more of the ball than Kilmarnock, 54% against 47%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Hearts, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Hearts get more of their chances from set pieces than Kilmarnock, 31% against 24%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hearts Kilmarnock
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Total Shots 119 (11.9 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Blocked Shots 39 (3.9 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 819 (81.9 avg)
488 (48.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 462 (46.2 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
4578 (457.8 avg) Passes 3950 (395.0 avg)
3699 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3080 (78%)
55% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hearts Kilmarnock
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 25 (2.5 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 159 (15.9 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
14 (1.6 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
620 (62.0 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
219 (21.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 137 (13.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hearts

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)