Hibernian vs St Mirren

Wed 30 Dec, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hibernian win · Most likely 53.9%
Draw 24.6%
St Mirren win 21.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 56%
Hibernian clean sheet 38%Avg 32%
St Mirren clean sheet 19%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.9%
2-09.8%
2-19.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hibernian
  • St Mirren

Did you know?

  • Hibernian have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Hibernian have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Hibernian have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Hibernian have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

19meetings
  • Hibernian win · 6 (32%)
  • Draw · 7 (37%)
  • St Mirren win · 6 (32%)
Avg. total goals 2.47 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 53% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 47% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 26% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.53 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.42 League avg: 4.00
Hibernian avg. goals 1.26 League avg: 1.43
St Mirren avg. goals 1.21 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: St Mirren 0–3 Hibernian (08 Nov 25).

Hibernian vs St Mirren head to head: in the previous 19 meetings, Hibernian have won 6 times, St Mirren have won 6 times and 7 ended in a draw. Hibernian scored 24 goals and St Mirren scored 23 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Oct 2026, ended 1-1 at St Mirren. Hibernian are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 19 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Hibernian kept 6 clean sheets and St Mirren kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Hibernian
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
St Mirren
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    45% 11th of 12 51% 5th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 12 0.09 xG a shot 12th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 6th of 12 27% of xG 5th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 10th of 12 15% of shots 9th of 12

Where they differ

  • St Mirren see much more of the ball than Hibernian, 51% against 45%.
  • Hibernian wait for better chances than St Mirren, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hibernian St Mirren
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Total Shots 118 (11.8 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 35 (3.5 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
59 (5.9 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
916 (91.6 avg) Attacks 757 (75.7 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 364 (36.4 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Key Passes 93 (9.3 avg)
4537 (453.7 avg) Passes 4427 (442.7 avg)
3660 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3567 (81%)
52% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hibernian St Mirren
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 30 (3.0 avg)
150 (15.0 avg) Tackles 188 (18.8 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 135 (13.5 avg)
21 (2.3 avg) Offsides 13 (1.3 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 480 (48.0 avg)
176 (17.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 99 (9.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hibernian

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

St Mirren

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)