Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock win 30.5%
Draw 24.2%
Hearts win · Most likely 45.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 56%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 19%Avg 32%
Hearts clean sheet 26%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 75%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.2%
0-19.0%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Kilmarnock
  • Hearts

Did you know?

  • Hearts's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Hearts have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.
  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.60 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts
14 Mar 26 Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts
03 Dec 25 Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock
18 Oct 25 Kilmarnock 0–3 Hearts
18 May 25 Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts
25 Jan 25 Hearts 3–2 Kilmarnock
15 Dec 24 Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts
30 Oct 24 Hearts 1–2 Kilmarnock
27 Apr 24 Kilmarnock 0–0 Hearts
30 Mar 24 Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock
02 Dec 23 Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts
13 Aug 23 Hearts 0–0 Kilmarnock
01 Apr 23 Kilmarnock 2–1 Hearts
17 Dec 22 Hearts 3–1 Kilmarnock
09 Oct 22 Kilmarnock 2–2 Hearts
15meetings
  • Kilmarnock win · 4 (27%)
  • Draw · 6 (40%)
  • Hearts win · 5 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.13 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 53% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.87 League avg: 10.70
Avg. total cards 4.07 League avg: 4.00
Kilmarnock avg. goals 0.93 League avg: 1.43
Hearts avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Kilmarnock 0–3 Hearts (18 Oct 25).

Kilmarnock vs Hearts head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 4 times, Hearts have won 5 times and 6 ended in a draw. Kilmarnock scored 14 goals and Hearts scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 15 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Kilmarnock kept 4 clean sheets and Hearts kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Kilmarnock
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
Hearts
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 10th of 12 54% 3rd of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12 0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 8th of 12 31% of xG 4th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 6th of 12 18% of shots 5th of 12

Where they differ

  • Hearts see much more of the ball than Kilmarnock, 54% against 47%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Hearts, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Hearts get more of their chances from set pieces than Kilmarnock, 31% against 24%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock Hearts
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 166 (16.6 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 54 (5.4 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 52 (5.2 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 62 (6.2 avg)
819 (81.9 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
462 (46.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 488 (48.8 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 129 (12.9 avg)
3950 (395.0 avg) Passes 4578 (457.8 avg)
3080 (78%) Pass Accuracy 3699 (81%)
46% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock Hearts
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
11 (1.4 avg) Offsides 14 (1.6 avg)
447 (44.7 avg) Duels Won 620 (62.0 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 219 (21.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Hearts

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)