Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Sat 09 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock win · Most likely 43.0%
Draw 25.4%
St Mirren win 31.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 56%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 28%Avg 32%
St Mirren clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.7%
2-19.0%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Kilmarnock
  • St Mirren

Did you know?

  • St Mirren have conceded in each of their last 9 matches.
  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Kilmarnock have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • St Mirren beat Kilmarnock 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

15meetings
  • Kilmarnock win · 8 (53%)
  • Draw · 5 (33%)
  • St Mirren win · 2 (13%)
Avg. total goals 2.53 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 33% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 10.27 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 3.73 League avg: 4.00
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.43
St Mirren avg. goals 0.93 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: St Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock (29 Mar 25).

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 8 times, St Mirren have won 2 times and 5 ended in a draw. Kilmarnock scored 24 goals and St Mirren scored 14 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 2 Sep 2026, was won 1-0 by St Mirren, away at Kilmarnock. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 15 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Kilmarnock kept 9 clean sheets and St Mirren kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
St Mirren
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 8th of 12 51% 5th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12 0.09 xG a shot 12th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 8th of 12 24% of xG 9th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 6th of 12 13% of shots 11th of 12

Where they differ

  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than St Mirren, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Kilmarnock go more through the air than St Mirren, 18% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock St Mirren
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 6 (0.6 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 106 (10.6 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.1 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
842 (84.2 avg) Attacks 754 (75.4 avg)
473 (47.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 360 (36.0 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 81 (8.1 avg)
4010 (401.0 avg) Passes 4475 (447.5 avg)
3118 (78%) Pass Accuracy 3578 (80%)
47% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Kilmarnock St Mirren
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 31 (3.1 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 186 (18.6 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Fouls 137 (13.7 avg)
11 (1.4 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
447 (44.7 avg) Duels Won 496 (49.6 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 113 (11.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

St Mirren

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)