Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin

Sun 29 Nov, 13:45 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan win · Most likely 65.0%
Draw 21.6%
Pogon Szczecin win 13.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 60%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 55%
Lech Poznan clean sheet 38%Avg 28%
Pogon Szczecin clean sheet 11%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 49%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 75%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-010.0%
2-19.8%
1-08.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lech Poznan
  • Pogon Szczecin

Did you know?

  • Lech Poznan have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Pogon Szczecin beat Lech Poznan 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Lech Poznan have outscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of Lech Poznan's last 10 matches.

H2H

10meetings
  • Lech Poznan win · 5 (50%)
  • Draw · 4 (40%)
  • Pogon Szczecin win · 1 (10%)
Avg. total goals 3.10 League avg: 2.81
Over 2.5 goals 70% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 60%
Whoever hosts wins 30% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.95
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 4.11
Lech Poznan avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.41
Pogon Szczecin avg. goals 1.30 League avg: 1.41

Biggest win: Pogon Szczecin 5–0 Lech Poznan (01 Oct 23).

Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Lech Poznan have won 5 times, Pogon Szczecin have won once and 4 ended in a draw. Lech Poznan scored 18 goals and Pogon Szczecin scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Lech Poznan, away at Pogon Szczecin. Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Lech Poznan kept 4 clean sheets and Pogon Szczecin kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Lech Poznan
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
Pogon Szczecin
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    56% 2nd of 18 47% 16th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 4th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    13% of xG 17th of 18 31% of xG 9th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 15th of 18 17% of shots 14th of 18

Where they differ

  • Lech Poznan see much more of the ball than Pogon Szczecin, 56% against 47%.
  • Pogon Szczecin get more of their chances from set pieces than Lech Poznan, 31% against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin
29 (2.9 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
183 (18.3 avg) Total Shots 122 (12.2 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.1 avg)
69 (6.9 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
739 (73.9 avg) Attacks 684 (68.4 avg)
409 (40.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 412 (41.2 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Key Passes 74 (7.4 avg)
4634 (463.4 avg) Passes 3958 (395.8 avg)
3914 (84%) Pass Accuracy 3215 (81%)
56% Ball Possession 45%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Tackles 147 (14.7 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 158 (15.8 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
398 (39.8 avg) Duels Won 458 (45.8 avg)
93 (9.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 138 (13.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lech Poznan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)

Pogon Szczecin

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)