Leicester vs Luton

Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Leicester win 32.4%
Draw 26.6%
Luton win · Most likely 41.0%

Limited history for Leicester. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 51%
Leicester clean sheet 21%Avg 30%
Luton clean sheet 25%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.9%
0-17.8%
0-26.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Leicester
  • Luton

Did you know?

  • Leicester's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Leicester have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Leicester's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Leicester's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Oct 26 Luton 2–1 Leicester
1meetings
  • Leicester win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Luton win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 17.00 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.78
Leicester avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Luton avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Luton 2–1 Leicester (24 Oct 26).

Leicester vs Luton head to head: in their only meeting on file, Leicester have not won, Luton have won once and none ended in a draw. Leicester scored 1 goal and Luton scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, was won 2-1 by Luton, at home against Leicester. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Leicester
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Luton
  • Selective shooters
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    66% 1st of 24 54% 7th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 20th of 24 25% of xG 18th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 23rd of 24 15% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Luton wait for better chances than Leicester, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Leicester Luton
20 (2.0 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
153 (15.3 avg) Total Shots 159 (15.9 avg)
60 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 53 (5.3 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 53 (5.3 avg)
72 (7.2 avg) Corners 65 (6.5 avg)
856 (85.6 avg) Attacks 668 (66.8 avg)
451 (45.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 303 (30.3 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Key Passes 122 (12.2 avg)
6107 (610.7 avg) Passes 4283 (428.3 avg)
5211 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3361 (78%)
64% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Leicester Luton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Tackles 146 (14.6 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Offsides 14 (1.6 avg)
465 (46.5 avg) Duels Won 535 (53.5 avg)
124 (12.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 210 (21.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Leicester

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Luton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)