Lille
vs
Brest
Sat 17 Oct, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Lille
- Brest
Did you know?
- Brest have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
- Brest have underscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
- Lille's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
- Brest have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
H2H
All 13 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 26 | Lille |
1–1 | Brest |
| 17 Aug 25 | Brest |
3–3 | Lille |
| 10 May 25 | Brest |
2–0 | Lille |
| 06 Dec 24 | Lille |
3–1 | Brest |
| 17 Mar 24 | Brest |
1–1 | Lille |
| 22 Oct 23 | Lille |
1–0 | Brest |
| 24 Feb 23 | Lille |
2–1 | Brest |
| 11 Jan 23 | Brest |
0–0 | Lille |
| 22 Jan 22 | Brest |
2–0 | Lille |
| 23 Oct 21 | Lille |
1–1 | Brest |
| 14 Feb 21 | Lille |
0–0 | Brest |
| 08 Nov 20 | Brest |
3–2 | Lille |
| 06 Dec 19 | Lille |
1–0 | Brest |
- Lille win · 4 (31%)
- Draw · 6 (46%)
- Brest win · 3 (23%)
Biggest win: Brest 2–0 Lille (10 May 25).
Lille vs Brest head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, Lille have won 4 times, Brest have won 3 times and 6 ended in a draw. Lille scored 15 goals and Brest scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Lille. Brest are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 13 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Lille kept 4 clean sheets and Brest kept 4.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Lille
Brest
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Lille
Brest
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Match Outlook
2nd placed Lille host 8th placed Brest. Lille have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWD), scoring 7 and conceding 4, and have won 4 of their last 10 at home. Brest have a WLLWD record from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7, and have won 2 of their last 10 on the road. Lille will be missing Tiago Santos (joint top scorer, 2 goals) and Ayase Ueda (joint top scorer, 2 goals), plus 2 other absentees. Brest will be missing Raphaël Le Guen (5 of 6 starts), with 2 more on the absentee list. The main goal threats are Dilane Bakwa (2 goals) for Lille and Kamory Doumbia (4 goals) for Brest. Lille are favourites here (Lille win 52%, draw 26%, Brest win 22%). A fairly typical number of goals is expected, with 1-0 the most likely score. How Lille cope without Tiago Santos and Ayase Ueda could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Lille
Injured
Tiago Santos
joint top scorer, 2 goals
-
Lille
Injured
Ayase Ueda
joint top scorer, 2 goals
-
Brest
Injured
Raphaël Le Guen
5 of 6 starts
Lille
Previous 10 Matches
DWWWWWWWWLForm & stats (Last 10)
2nd in the league · 13 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWLWDWWLW | 2.00 |
| Home | DWDWDDLDWW | 1.70 |
| Away | DWWWWWWWWL | 2.50 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 59% | 44% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.54 | 2.63 | 2.45 |
| Scored/game | 1.55 | 1.74 | 1.35 |
| Conceded/game | 0.99 | 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 53% | 49% |
| Clean sheets | 39% | 43% | 34% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 12% | 24% |
| xG/game | 1.60 | 1.74 | 1.46 |
| xG against/game | 1.08 | 0.96 | 1.20 |
| npxG/game | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.2 | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.0 | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| Led at half-time | 41% | 46% | 36% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 22% | 30% | 16% |
Brest
Previous 10 Matches
LLLDDDWLLW-
13 Sep 26 H Brest vs
Paris Saint-Germain
0–1
L
-
13 May 26 H Brest vs
Strasbourg
1–2
L
-
10 May 26 A Brest vs
Paris Saint-Germain
0–1
L
Previous 10 Matches
WWWLDLDDLW-
13 Sep 26 H Brest vs
Paris Saint-Germain
0–1
L
-
13 May 26 H Brest vs
Strasbourg
1–2
L
Form & stats (Last 10)
8th in the league · 8 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLDDDWLLW | 0.90 |
| Home | WWWLDLDDLW | 1.50 |
| Away | DWLLDLLDWL | 0.90 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 43% | 26% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.83 | 2.86 | 2.81 |
| Scored/game | 1.35 | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Conceded/game | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 34% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 20% | 33% |
| xG/game | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.09 |
| xG against/game | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.78 |
| npxG/game | 1.16 | 1.37 | 0.96 |
| Deep completions/game | 5.0 | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 13.5 | 13.2 | 13.8 |
| Led at half-time | 30% | 34% | 26% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 3% | 14% |
League standings
Lille are 2nd with 13 points. Brest are 8th with 8 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Toulouse |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Brest |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Lorient |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 8 |
| 10 | Nice |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Lens |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Strasbourg |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Angers |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Marseille |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- Ayase Ueda Injured · Foot Injury
- Ethan Mbappé Injured · Ankle Injury (3 games missed)
- Hamza Igamane Injured · Cruciate Ligament Tear (36 games missed)
- Tiago Santos Injured · Cruciate Ligament Tear (1 games missed)
Out / doubtful
- Brendan Chardonnet Injured · Calf Injury (7 games missed)
- Giovani Versini Injured · Knee Injury (1 games missed)
- Raphaël Le Guen Injured · Broken Fibula (2 games missed)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Lille
- Tiago Santos 100 2 6
- Dilane Bakwa 001 2 5
- Ayase Ueda 010 2 4
Brest
- Kamory Doumbia 000 4 6
- Pathé Mboup 011 2 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 001 2 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Lille
- Ayase Ueda 140 7 4
- Tiago Santos 120 6 6
- Ethan Mbappé 30– 6 4
Brest
- Pathé Mboup 213 10 6
- Kamory Doumbia 101 6 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 101 6 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Lille
- Tiago Santos 230 9 6
- Ayase Ueda 340 9 4
- Ethan Mbappé 31– 9 4
Brest
- Pathé Mboup 433 22 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 402 19 6
- Kamory Doumbia 411 13 6
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Lille
- Maurits Kjærgaard 011 2Y 1
- Romain Perraud 000 2Y 6
- Olivier Giroud 100 1Y 6
Brest
- Kamory Doumbia 100 2Y 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 001 2Y 6
- Pathé Mboup 000 1Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Lille
- Ayase Ueda 201 8 4
- Nabil Bentaleb 115 7 6
- Dilane Bakwa 105 7 5
Brest
- Pathé Mboup 230 20 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 321 14 6
- Joris Chotard 020 6 6
Most tackles
Tackles made
Lille
- Tiago Santos 131 11 6
- Romain Perraud 123 11 6
- Dilane Bakwa 106 9 5
Brest
- Bradley Locko 340 15 6
- Hugo Magnetti 360 12 4
- Pathé Mboup 122 11 6
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Lille
- Nathan Ngoy 02– 7 5
- Tiago Santos 100 5 6
- Alexsandro 102 5 6
Brest
- Bradley Locko 111 11 6
- Hugo Magnetti 303 11 4
- Joris Chotard 020 9 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Lille
- Tiago Santos 582 31 6
- Alexsandro 453 26 6
- Romain Perraud 453 22 6
Brest
- Ludovic Ajorque 686 54 6
- Bradley Locko 6104 39 6
- Pathé Mboup 655 31 6
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Lille
- Alexsandro 003 7 6
- Nathan Ngoy 00– 3 5
- Romain Perraud 000 2 6
Brest
- Raphaël Le Guen 02– 4 5
- Gautier Lloris 101 4 5
- Bradley Locko 010 2 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Lille
- Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 121 10 5
- Nabil Bentaleb 320 7 6
- Dilane Bakwa 221 6 5
Brest
- Joris Chotard 131 15 6
- Ludovic Ajorque 111 9 6
- Pathé Mboup 112 8 6
Referee
CTClément Turpin
35 matches on file in this leagueReferee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Brest
Over 8.5 Corners in the Match
90.0%
-
2
Lille
Over 3.5 Offsides in the Match
90.0%
-
3
Lille
To Score
90.0%
-
4
Lille
Under 2.5 Goals in the Match
80.0%
-
5
Lille
Over 2.5 Cards in the Match
80.0%
-
1
BA
Benjamin André
Over 1.5 Tackles
90.0%
-
2
LA
Ludovic Ajorque
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
-
3
ES
Egil Selvik
Over 1.5 Saves
83.3%
-
4
LA
Ludovic Ajorque
Over 1.5 Shots
70.0%
-
5
KD
Kamory Doumbia
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
-
888sport
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1.83
3.70
3.75
-
Bet Victor
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1.80
3.70
3.80
-
Betano (UK)
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1.80
3.70
3.80
-
Betfair
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1.93
3.95
4.20
-
Betfair Sportsbook
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1.87
3.80
4.00
-
Betfred (UK)
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1.83
3.75
4.00
-
Betway
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1.83
3.80
3.80
-
BoyleSports
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1.80
3.75
3.60
-
Casumo
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1.74
3.80
4.25
-
Coral
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1.83
3.90
4.00
-
Grosvenor
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1.76
3.90
4.35
-
Ladbrokes
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1.80
3.90
3.90
-
LeoVegas
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1.88
3.65
3.75
-
LiveScore Bet
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1.70
3.65
4.10
-
Paddy Power
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1.85
3.75
3.80
-
Sky Bet
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1.83
3.60
3.80
-
Smarkets
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1.94
3.90
4.20
-
Unibet (UK)
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1.88
3.75
3.90
-
Virgin Bet
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1.70
3.65
4.10
-
William Hill
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1.83
3.70
3.75
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Le Havre
Nice
Troyes
Toulouse
Angers
Auxerre
Monaco
Paris FC
Lens
Lorient
Nantes
Marseille
Rennes
Metz
Le Mans
Lyon