Lincoln City vs Derby

Sat 03 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 40 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lincoln City win · Most likely 44.0%
Draw 26.4%
Derby win 29.6%

Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 51%
Lincoln City clean sheet 28%Avg 28%
Derby clean sheet 21%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 53%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 40%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 51%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.2%
1-08.9%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lincoln City
  • Derby

Did you know?

  • Lincoln City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Lincoln City have won just 1 of their last 7 home matches.
  • Lincoln City's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

These two have no meetings in the stored history. At least one of them is newly promoted.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Lincoln City
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    37% 24th of 24 48% 15th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    38% of xG 3rd of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    24% of shots 3rd of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

  • Lincoln City wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Derby see much more of the ball than Lincoln City, 48% against 37%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lincoln City Derby
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
662 (73.6 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)
375 (41.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)
72 (7.2 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
2897 (289.7 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)
1968 (68%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
38% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lincoln City Derby
3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
120 (12.0 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
497 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)
208 (20.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lincoln City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)