Lincoln City
vs
Watford
Tue 26 Jan, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Lincoln City. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Lincoln City
- Watford
Did you know?
- Lincoln City have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
- Watford have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
- Lincoln City have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
- Lincoln City's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
H2H
All 1 meeting on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov 26 | 1–0 |
- Lincoln City win · 0 (0%)
- Draw · 0 (0%)
- Watford win · 1 (100%)
Biggest win: Watford 1–0 Lincoln City (03 Nov 26).
Lincoln City vs Watford head to head: in their only meeting on file, Lincoln City have not won, Watford have won once and none ended in a draw. Lincoln City scored 0 goals and Watford scored 1 goal in that match. The latest meeting, on 3 Nov 2026, was won 1-0 by Watford, at home against Lincoln City. At least one side failed to score. Watford kept 1.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Cedes possession
- Set piece heavy
- Crosses and headers
- Shoots on sight
- Cedes possession
- Plays on the floor
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball37% 24th of 24 45% 21st of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.11 xG a shot 11th of 24 0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces38% of xG 3rd of 24 23% of xG 13th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers24% of shots 3rd of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24
Where they differ
- Lincoln City go more through the air than Watford, 24% of shots against 14%.
- Lincoln City wait for better chances than Watford, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.
- Lincoln City get more of their chances from set pieces than Watford, 38% against 23%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
Lincoln City
Previous 10 Matches
WWLLLDWLLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
Previous 10 Matches
WWWLDDLLWL-
31 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Birmingham 1–3 L
-
24 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
Burnley 4–1 W
-
14 Oct 26 H Lincoln City vs
West Ham 0–6 L
-
19 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Swansea 1–2 L
-
05 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Southampton 1–1 D
-
01 Sep 26 H Lincoln City vs
Blackburn 0–0 D
-
22 Aug 26 H Lincoln City vs
Portsmouth 1–3 L
-
25 Apr 26 H Lincoln City vs
Wycombe Wanderers 4–3 W
-
11 Apr 26 H Lincoln City vs
Leyton Orient 2–1 W
-
03 Apr 26 H Lincoln City vs
AFC Wimbledon 1–0 W
Previous 10 Matches
WWLWWWLDLL-
07 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
QPR 1–2 L
-
03 Nov 26 A Lincoln City vs
Watford 0–1 L
-
17 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Millwall 2–2 D
-
10 Oct 26 A Lincoln City vs
Sheffield United 0–3 L
-
15 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bristol City 1–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Lincoln City vs
Preston 1–0 W
-
29 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Bolton Wanderers 1–0 W
-
15 Aug 26 A Lincoln City vs
Middlesbrough 1–2 L
-
02 May 26 A Lincoln City vs
Port Vale 2–0 W
-
21 Apr 26 A Lincoln City vs
Doncaster Rovers 2–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
21st in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLLDWLLL | 1.00 |
| Home* | WWWLDDLLWL | 1.40 |
| Away* | WWLWWWLDLL | 1.60 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 43% | 37% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.48 | 2.49 | 2.47 |
| Scored/game | 1.37 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Conceded/game | 1.11 | 1.01 | 1.22 |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 51% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 33% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 28% | 27% |
| xG/game | 1.45 | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| xG against/game | 1.18 | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| npxG/game | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Led at half-time | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 7% | 13% | 3% |
Watford
Previous 10 Matches
WLLLLWLLWD-
07 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Middlesbrough 0–0 D
-
03 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Lincoln City 1–0 W
-
18 Sep 26 A Watford vs
Bristol City 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
LLWDWLLWWD-
07 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Middlesbrough 0–0 D
-
03 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Lincoln City 1–0 W
-
16 Aug 26 H Watford vs
Southampton 2–1 W
-
18 Apr 26 H Watford vs
Sheffield United 0–2 L
Previous 10 Matches
LLLDLLLLLL-
18 Sep 26 A Watford vs
Bristol City 0–1 L
-
25 Apr 26 A Watford vs
Middlesbrough 1–5 L
Form & stats (Last 10)
20th in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLLWLLWD | 1.00 |
| Home | LLWDWLLWWD | 1.40 |
| Away | LLLDLLLLLL | 0.10 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 38% | 21% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.62 | 2.60 | 2.65 |
| Scored/game | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Conceded/game | 1.48 | 1.34 | 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 30% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 26% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.19 | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| xG against/game | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.58 |
| npxG/game | 1.12 | 1.20 | 1.04 |
| Deep completions/game | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.2 | 13.7 | 14.7 |
| Led at half-time | 19% | 21% | 17% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 7% | 10% | 4% |
League standings
Lincoln City are 21st with 15 points. Watford are 20th with 15 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 | |
| 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 | |
| 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Lincoln City yet.
Out / doubtful
- M. Melia Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-30)
- T. Darikwa Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-20)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Lincoln City
- M. Ladefoged 0–0 3 3
- F. Draper 000 2 12
- B. House 00– 2 12
Watford
- A. Nabizada –00 3 8
- L. Kjerrumgaard ––0 2 7
- M. Boadu 20– 2 5
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 001 8 12
- B. House 11– 7 12
- D. Jefferies 201 6 10
Watford
- I. Bravo 001 7 13
- M. Doumbia 100 7 7
- A. Nabizada –00 6 8
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 122 22 12
- R. Hackett-Fairchild 013 21 9
- B. House 21– 17 12
Watford
- I. Bravo 022 22 13
- E. Kayembe 132 22 11
- M. Doumbia 101 15 7
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Lincoln City
- C. McGrandles ––1 5Y 1R 12
- F. Draper 000 5Y 12
- B. House 01– 5Y 12
Watford
- I. Bravo 000 4Y 13
- E. Kayembe 010 4Y 11
- A. Nabizada –00 4Y 8
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 142 44 12
- B. House 20– 20 12
- C. McGrandles ––1 13 12
Watford
- M. Pollock 211 17 15
- H. Kyprianou 10– 16 14
- E. Kayembe 022 16 11
Most tackles
Tackles made
Lincoln City
- B. House 06– 34 12
- C. McGrandles ––1 24 12
- D. Jefferies 302 24 10
Watford
- H. Kyprianou 02– 24 14
- K. K. Biakolo 301 20 14
- J. Zemura 2–0 20 8
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 101 22 15
- C. McGrandles ––3 18 12
- Y. Konak 222 16 5
Watford
- M. Pollock 211 20 15
- H. Kyprianou 00– 20 14
- J. Zemura 2–1 15 8
Duels won
Challenges won
Lincoln City
- F. Draper 51210 84 12
- B. House 510– 81 12
- D. Elerewe 1028 77 15
Watford
- I. Bravo 445 70 13
- H. Kyprianou 55– 66 14
- M. Pollock 2115 65 15
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Lincoln City
- D. Elerewe 201 13 15
- S. Bradley 023 12 11
- R. Towler ––– 10 7
Watford
- M. Pollock 303 27 15
- K. K. Biakolo 100 15 14
- H. Kyprianou 02– 11 14
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Lincoln City
- A. Coubiș 11– 12 7
- A. Reach 211 11 13
- R. Hackett-Fairchild 100 11 9
Watford
- I. Bravo 220 15 13
- J. Zemura 1–1 15 8
- E. Kayembe 020 13 11
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Lincoln City Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 80.0%
-
2
Lincoln City Higher Scoring 2nd Half 80.0%
-
3
Lincoln City Over 40.5 Booking Points in the Match 70.0%
-
4
Lincoln City Over 2.5 Goals in the Match 70.0%
-
5
Lincoln City Team Over 1.5 Cards 70.0%
-
1
FR
F. Ravaglia Over 2.5 Saves 90.0%
-
2
FD
F. Draper Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
3
EK
E. Kayembe Over 1.5 Shots 70.0%
-
4
DJ
D. Jefferies Over 1.5 Tackles 60.0%
-
5
FD
F. Draper Over 0.5 Shots on Target 50.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad