Lugano vs Thun

Sun 13 Dec, 15:30 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lugano win · Most likely 50.5%
Draw 22.9%
Thun win 26.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 68%Avg 66%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 68%Avg 64%
Lugano clean sheet 23%Avg 22%
Thun clean sheet 13%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 57%
Over 2.5 cards 86%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.1%
3-16.1%
2-06.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lugano
  • Thun

Did you know?

  • Lugano are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Lugano have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Lugano have outscored their xG by 1.33 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Lugano have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Oct 26 Thun 2–3 Lugano
25 Apr 26 Thun 0–1 Lugano
04 Apr 26 Lugano 1–0 Thun
22 Nov 25 Thun 0–1 Lugano
27 Jul 25 Lugano 1–2 Thun
5meetings
  • Lugano win · 4 (80%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Thun win · 1 (20%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 3.27
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 64%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 66%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.40
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 4.82
Lugano avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.64
Thun avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.64

Biggest win: Thun 2–3 Lugano (25 Oct 26).

Lugano vs Thun head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Lugano have won 4 times, Thun have won once and none ended in a draw. Lugano scored 7 goals and Thun scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Oct 2026, was won 3-2 by Lugano, away at Thun. Lugano have won each of the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Lugano kept 3 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Lugano
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
Thun
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    55% 2nd of 12 46% 11th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 5th of 12 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 6th of 12 37% of xG 1st of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 3rd of 12 17% of shots 8th of 12

Where they differ

  • Lugano see much more of the ball than Thun, 55% against 46%.
  • Lugano wait for better chances than Thun, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Thun get more of their chances from set pieces than Lugano, 37% against 25%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lugano Thun
30 (3.0 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Total Shots 158 (15.8 avg)
60 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 47 (4.7 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
827 (82.7 avg) Attacks 835 (83.5 avg)
427 (42.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 524 (52.4 avg)
128 (12.8 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
5066 (506.6 avg) Passes 3644 (364.4 avg)
4434 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2784 (76%)
55% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lugano Thun
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Tackles 183 (18.3 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Fouls 167 (16.7 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
457 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 522 (52.2 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 155 (15.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lugano

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Thun

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)