Luton vs Burton Albion

Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Luton win · Most likely 57.9%
Draw 24.6%
Burton Albion win 17.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Luton clean sheet 39%Avg 30%
Burton Albion clean sheet 16%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.3%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Luton
  • Burton Albion

Did you know?

  • Luton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Luton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 matches.
  • Luton's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Feb 26 Luton 1–1 Burton Albion
30 Aug 25 Burton Albion 0–3 Luton
2meetings
  • Luton win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Burton Albion win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 8.50 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.78
Luton avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Burton Albion avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burton Albion 0–3 Luton (30 Aug 25).

Luton vs Burton Albion head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Luton have won once, Burton Albion have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Luton scored 4 goals and Burton Albion scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Luton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Luton kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Luton
  • Selective shooters
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
Burton Albion
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 7th of 24 47% 16th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.09 xG a shot 20th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 18th of 24 35% of xG 7th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 20th of 24 15% of shots 19th of 24

Where they differ

  • Luton wait for better chances than Burton Albion, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Burton Albion get more of their chances from set pieces than Luton, 35% against 25%.
  • Luton see much more of the ball than Burton Albion, 54% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Luton Burton Albion
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Total Shots 123 (12.3 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 36 (3.6 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 40 (4.0 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
668 (66.8 avg) Attacks 737 (73.7 avg)
303 (30.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 380 (38.0 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Key Passes 81 (8.1 avg)
4283 (428.3 avg) Passes 3772 (377.2 avg)
3361 (78%) Pass Accuracy 2760 (73%)
53% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Luton Burton Albion
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Tackles 171 (17.1 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
14 (1.6 avg) Offsides 8 (0.8 avg)
535 (53.5 avg) Duels Won 551 (55.1 avg)
210 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 188 (18.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Luton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Burton Albion

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)