Luton vs Milton Keynes Dons

Sat 16 Jan, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Luton win · Most likely 57.3%
Draw 23.2%
Milton Keynes Dons win 19.5%

Limited history for Milton Keynes Dons. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 51%
Luton clean sheet 32%Avg 30%
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet 14%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 87%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 79%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-08.7%
1-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Luton
  • Milton Keynes Dons

Did you know?

  • Luton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Luton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 matches.
  • Luton's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 1 meeting on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton
1meetings
  • Luton win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons win · 1 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 2.00 League avg: 3.78
Luton avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Milton Keynes Dons avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton (17 Oct 26).

Luton vs Milton Keynes Dons head to head: in their only meeting on file, Luton have not won, Milton Keynes Dons have won once and none ended in a draw. Luton scored 1 goal and Milton Keynes Dons scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 2-1 by Milton Keynes Dons, at home against Luton. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Luton
  • Selective shooters
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
Milton Keynes Dons
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 7th of 24 46% 18th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 18th of 24 42% of xG 1st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 20th of 24 27% of shots 4th of 24

Where they differ

  • Milton Keynes Dons get more of their chances from set pieces than Luton, 42% against 25%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons go more through the air than Luton, 27% of shots against 15%.
  • Luton see much more of the ball than Milton Keynes Dons, 54% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Luton Milton Keynes Dons
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Total Shots 150 (15.0 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 43 (4.3 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
668 (66.8 avg) Attacks 793 (79.3 avg)
303 (30.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 391 (39.1 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Key Passes 110 (11.0 avg)
4283 (428.3 avg) Passes 3333 (333.3 avg)
3361 (78%) Pass Accuracy 2324 (70%)
53% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Luton Milton Keynes Dons
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Tackles 147 (14.7 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 140 (14.0 avg)
14 (1.6 avg) Offsides 21 (2.1 avg)
535 (53.5 avg) Duels Won 550 (55.0 avg)
210 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 239 (23.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Luton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Milton Keynes Dons

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)