Luton vs Stevenage

Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Luton win · Most likely 48.3%
Draw 28.8%
Stevenage win 22.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 51%
Luton clean sheet 39%Avg 30%
Stevenage clean sheet 23%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.8%
2-09.4%
2-19.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Luton
  • Stevenage

Did you know?

  • Luton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Luton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 matches.
  • Luton's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Sep 26 Stevenage 2–1 Luton
10 Jan 26 Luton 2–1 Stevenage
04 Oct 25 Stevenage 2–0 Luton
3meetings
  • Luton win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Stevenage win · 2 (67%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 7.33 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 4.67 League avg: 3.78
Luton avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Stevenage avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stevenage 2–0 Luton (04 Oct 25).

Luton vs Stevenage head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Luton have won once, Stevenage have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. Luton scored 3 goals and Stevenage scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Stevenage, at home against Luton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Stevenage kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Luton
  • Selective shooters
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
Stevenage
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 7th of 24 44% 22nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 18th of 24 27% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 20th of 24 23% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Luton see much more of the ball than Stevenage, 54% against 44%.
  • Stevenage go more through the air than Luton, 23% of shots against 15%.
  • Luton wait for better chances than Stevenage, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Luton Stevenage
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Total Shots 117 (11.7 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
668 (66.8 avg) Attacks 692 (69.2 avg)
303 (30.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 289 (28.9 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Key Passes 86 (8.6 avg)
4283 (428.3 avg) Passes 3255 (325.5 avg)
3361 (78%) Pass Accuracy 2241 (69%)
53% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Luton Stevenage
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Tackles 160 (16.0 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 110 (11.0 avg)
14 (1.6 avg) Offsides 19 (2.1 avg)
535 (53.5 avg) Duels Won 578 (57.8 avg)
210 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 242 (24.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Luton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Stevenage

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)