Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 54.5%
Draw 23.6%
Werder Bremen win 21.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 30%Avg 26%
Werder Bremen clean sheet 15%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
1-08.5%
2-08.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Werder Bremen

Did you know?

  • Werder Bremen have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Werder Bremen beat Mainz 0-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Werder Bremen's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Werder Bremen have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Mar 26 Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz
01 Nov 25 Mainz 1–1 Werder Bremen
31 Jan 25 Werder Bremen 1–0 Mainz
15 Sep 24 Mainz 1–2 Werder Bremen
03 Feb 24 Mainz 0–1 Werder Bremen
02 Sep 23 Werder Bremen 4–0 Mainz
08 Apr 23 Mainz 2–2 Werder Bremen
15 Oct 22 Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz
21 Apr 21 Werder Bremen 0–1 Mainz
19 Dec 20 Mainz 0–1 Werder Bremen
20 Jun 20 Mainz 3–1 Werder Bremen
17 Dec 19 Werder Bremen 0–5 Mainz
30 Mar 19 Werder Bremen 3–1 Mainz
04 Nov 18 Mainz 2–1 Werder Bremen
14meetings
  • Mainz win · 6 (43%)
  • Draw · 2 (14%)
  • Werder Bremen win · 6 (43%)
Avg. total goals 2.64 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.14 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.71 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.43 League avg: 1.60
Werder Bremen avg. goals 1.21 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Werder Bremen 0–5 Mainz (17 Dec 19).

Mainz vs Werder Bremen head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Mainz have won 6 times, Werder Bremen have won 6 times and 2 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 20 goals and Werder Bremen scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, was won 2-0 by Mainz, away at Werder Bremen. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 14 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 4 clean sheets and Werder Bremen kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Werder Bremen
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 12 (2.0 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 84 (14.0 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 41 (6.8 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 19 (3.2 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 22 (3.7 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 518 (86.3 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 232 (38.7 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 61 (10.2 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2851 (475.2 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2392 (84%)
51% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Werder Bremen
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 7 (1.2 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 130 (21.7 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 72 (12.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 13 (2.2 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 305 (50.8 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 75 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Werder Bremen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)