Man City vs Brighton

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 9 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Man City win · Most likely 55.4%
Draw 23.9%
Brighton win 20.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 56%
Man City clean sheet 30%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 14%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-08.1%
1-07.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Man City
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Man City have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Brighton beat Man City 0-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Man City have won their last 7 matches in a row.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Jan 26 Man City 1–1 Brighton
31 Aug 25 Brighton 2–1 Man City
15 Mar 25 Man City 2–2 Brighton
09 Nov 24 Brighton 2–1 Man City
25 Apr 24 Brighton 0–4 Man City
21 Oct 23 Man City 2–1 Brighton
24 May 23 Brighton 1–1 Man City
22 Oct 22 Man City 3–1 Brighton
20 Apr 22 Man City 3–0 Brighton
23 Oct 21 Brighton 1–4 Man City
18 May 21 Brighton 3–2 Man City
13 Jan 21 Man City 1–0 Brighton
11 Jul 20 Brighton 0–5 Man City
31 Aug 19 Man City 4–0 Brighton
12 May 19 Brighton 1–4 Man City
29 Sep 18 Man City 2–0 Brighton
16meetings
  • Man City win · 10 (62%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Brighton win · 3 (19%)
Avg. total goals 3.44 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.56 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.81 League avg: 3.91
Man City avg. goals 2.50 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 0.94 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 0–5 Man City (11 Jul 20).

Man City vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Man City have won 10 times, Brighton have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Man City scored 40 goals and Brighton scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Man City. Brighton are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 12 had over 2.5 goals. Man City kept 6 clean sheets.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Man City Brighton
19 (2.7 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
102 (14.6 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
37 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
29 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
829 (118.4 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
397 (56.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
78 (11.1 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
4434 (633.4 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
3967 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
64% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Man City Brighton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
9 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
87 (12.4 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
347 (49.6 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Man City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)