Marseille vs Toulouse

Sun 01 Nov, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 9 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 48.9%
Draw 24.4%
Toulouse win 26.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Toulouse clean sheet 16%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 55%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 42%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.6%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Toulouse

Did you know?

  • Marseille have not lost to Toulouse in their last 12 meetings.
  • Marseille beat Toulouse 6-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Toulouse's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
29 Nov 25 Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
06 Apr 25 Marseille 3–2 Toulouse
31 Aug 24 Toulouse 1–3 Marseille
21 Apr 24 Toulouse 2–2 Marseille
17 Sep 23 Marseille 0–0 Toulouse
19 Feb 23 Toulouse 2–3 Marseille
29 Dec 22 Marseille 6–1 Toulouse
08 Feb 20 Marseille 1–0 Toulouse
24 Nov 19 Toulouse 0–2 Marseille
18 May 19 Toulouse 2–5 Marseille
10 Aug 18 Marseille 4–0 Toulouse
12meetings
  • Marseille win · 9 (75%)
  • Draw · 3 (25%)
  • Toulouse win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.67 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 58% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.58 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 2.67 League avg: 1.44
Toulouse avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 6–1 Toulouse (29 Dec 22).

Marseille vs Toulouse head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Marseille have won 9 times, Toulouse have not won and 3 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 32 goals and Toulouse scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, was won 1-0 by Marseille, away at Toulouse. Marseille are unbeaten in the last 12 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 12 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 5 clean sheets and Toulouse kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Toulouse
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 12 (1.7 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 96 (13.7 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 32 (4.6 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 29 (4.1 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 645 (92.1 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 75 (10.7 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 3525 (503.6 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 3027 (86%)
58% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Toulouse
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 11 (1.6 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 112 (16.0 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 109 (15.6 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 13 (1.9 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 337 (48.1 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Toulouse

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)