Toulouse vs Marseille

Sat 01 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Toulouse win · Most likely 44.9%
Draw 25.3%
Marseille win 29.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 77%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 55%
Toulouse clean sheet 26%Avg 29%
Marseille clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.3%
1-08.1%
2-06.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Toulouse
  • Marseille

Did you know?

  • Marseille have not lost to Toulouse in their last 12 meetings.
  • Marseille beat Toulouse 6-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Toulouse's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Toulouse have won just 3 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Mar 26 Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
29 Nov 25 Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
06 Apr 25 Marseille 3–2 Toulouse
31 Aug 24 Toulouse 1–3 Marseille
21 Apr 24 Toulouse 2–2 Marseille
17 Sep 23 Marseille 0–0 Toulouse
19 Feb 23 Toulouse 2–3 Marseille
29 Dec 22 Marseille 6–1 Toulouse
08 Feb 20 Marseille 1–0 Toulouse
24 Nov 19 Toulouse 0–2 Marseille
18 May 19 Toulouse 2–5 Marseille
10 Aug 18 Marseille 4–0 Toulouse
12meetings
  • Toulouse win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (25%)
  • Marseille win · 9 (75%)
Avg. total goals 3.67 League avg: 2.90
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 58% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.58 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 3.80
Toulouse avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.45
Marseille avg. goals 2.67 League avg: 1.45

Biggest win: Marseille 6–1 Toulouse (29 Dec 22).

Toulouse vs Marseille head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Toulouse have not won, Marseille have won 9 times and 3 ended in a draw. Toulouse scored 12 goals and Marseille scored 32 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, was won 1-0 by Marseille, away at Toulouse. Marseille are unbeaten in the last 12 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 12 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Toulouse kept 1 clean sheet and Marseille kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Toulouse Marseille
12 (1.7 avg) Goals 14 (2.0 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Total Shots 92 (13.1 avg)
32 (4.6 avg) Shots on Target 34 (4.9 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (3.3 avg)
29 (4.1 avg) Corners 31 (4.4 avg)
645 (92.1 avg) Attacks 824 (117.7 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 413 (59.0 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Key Passes 67 (9.6 avg)
3525 (503.6 avg) Passes 4112 (587.4 avg)
3027 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3648 (89%)
50% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Toulouse Marseille
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
11 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 11 (1.6 avg)
112 (16.0 avg) Tackles 90 (12.9 avg)
109 (15.6 avg) Fouls 75 (10.7 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
337 (48.1 avg) Duels Won 287 (41.0 avg)
88 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 81 (11.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Toulouse

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)