Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 50.1%
Draw 26.5%
Birmingham win 23.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 35%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 20%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 88%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 80%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 63%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 40%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.2%
2-19.6%
2-08.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have picked up just 1.1 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 1.9.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough
02 Mar 26 Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough
08 Nov 25 Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham
12 Mar 24 Birmingham 0–1 Middlesbrough
21 Oct 23 Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham
02 Jan 23 Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough
05 Oct 22 Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham
15 Mar 22 Birmingham 0–2 Middlesbrough
30 Oct 21 Middlesbrough 0–2 Birmingham
9meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 7 (78%)
  • Draw · 1 (11%)
  • Birmingham win · 1 (11%)
Avg. total goals 2.44 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 44% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.33 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.44 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.30
Birmingham avg. goals 0.78 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough (02 Mar 26).

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 7 times, Birmingham have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 15 goals and Birmingham scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Birmingham. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 9 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 4 clean sheets and Birmingham kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 50% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 5th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 13th of 24 31% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 22nd of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham go more through the air than Middlesbrough, 21% of shots against 14%.
  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Birmingham, 59% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Birmingham
23 (2.3 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
199 (19.9 avg) Total Shots 151 (15.1 avg)
70 (7.0 avg) Shots on Target 58 (5.8 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
63 (6.3 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
773 (85.9 avg) Attacks 783 (87.0 avg)
485 (53.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Key Passes 105 (10.5 avg)
5158 (515.8 avg) Passes 4101 (410.1 avg)
4456 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3130 (76%)
59% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Birmingham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
435 (43.5 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 187 (18.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)