Middlesbrough vs Southampton

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 37 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 45.8%
Draw 25.5%
Southampton win 28.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 27%Avg 28%
Southampton clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 88%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 80%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 62%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 40%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.3%
1-08.5%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Southampton

Did you know?

  • Middlesbrough have not lost to Southampton in their last 4 meetings.
  • Middlesbrough beat Southampton 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Middlesbrough have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Jan 26 Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton
27 Sep 25 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
29 Mar 24 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
23 Sep 23 Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton
4meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Southampton win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.25 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Southampton avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton (04 Jan 26).

Middlesbrough vs Southampton head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 2 times, Southampton have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 8 goals and Southampton scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Jan 2026, was won 4-0 by Middlesbrough, at home against Southampton. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 57% 5th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 14th of 24 19% of xG 21st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 20th of 24 17% of shots 14th of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 23% against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Southampton
22 (2.2 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
201 (20.1 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
537 (53.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 376 (41.8 avg)
145 (16.1 avg) Key Passes 89 (9.9 avg)
5387 (538.7 avg) Passes 5258 (525.8 avg)
4678 (87%) Pass Accuracy 4555 (87%)
61% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Southampton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 109 (10.9 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Fouls 81 (8.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 28 (3.1 avg)
397 (44.1 avg) Duels Won 340 (37.8 avg)
114 (12.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 90 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)