Middlesbrough vs Watford

Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough win · Most likely 62.7%
Draw 22.8%
Watford win 14.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 43%Avg 28%
Watford clean sheet 15%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.3%
2-011.6%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Middlesbrough
  • Watford

Did you know?

  • Watford have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Middlesbrough beat Watford 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Watford have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Nov 26 Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough
25 Apr 26 Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford
01 Nov 25 Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough
15 Feb 25 Middlesbrough 0–1 Watford
05 Oct 24 Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough
04 May 24 Middlesbrough 3–1 Watford
30 Sep 23 Watford 2–3 Middlesbrough
28 Jan 23 Middlesbrough 2–0 Watford
30 Aug 22 Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough
9meetings
  • Middlesbrough win · 4 (44%)
  • Draw · 1 (11%)
  • Watford win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.38 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.38 League avg: 3.82
Middlesbrough avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.31
Watford avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford (25 Apr 26).

Middlesbrough vs Watford head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Middlesbrough have won 4 times, Watford have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Middlesbrough scored 15 goals and Watford scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Nov 2026, ended 0-0 at Watford. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 9 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 2 clean sheets and Watford kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    59% 2nd of 24 45% 21st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24 0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 14th of 24 23% of xG 13th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 20th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough see much more of the ball than Watford, 59% against 45%.
  • Middlesbrough wait for better chances than Watford, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Watford
22 (2.2 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
201 (20.1 avg) Total Shots 119 (11.9 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 39 (3.9 avg)
896 (89.6 avg) Attacks 754 (75.4 avg)
537 (53.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 342 (34.2 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Key Passes 79 (7.9 avg)
5387 (538.7 avg) Passes 3904 (390.4 avg)
4678 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3161 (81%)
61% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Middlesbrough Watford
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
444 (44.4 avg) Duels Won 451 (45.1 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 139 (13.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)