Millwall vs Southampton

Sat 17 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 43 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 37.7%
Draw 25.9%
Southampton win 36.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 22%Avg 28%
Southampton clean sheet 22%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%
1-07.2%
2-05.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Southampton

Did you know?

  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Southampton beat Millwall 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Aug 26 Southampton 5–1 Millwall
01 Jan 26 Southampton 0–0 Millwall
29 Nov 25 Millwall 3–2 Southampton
24 Feb 24 Southampton 1–2 Millwall
04 Nov 23 Millwall 0–1 Southampton
5meetings
  • Millwall win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Southampton win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 15.40 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.31
Southampton avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Southampton 5–1 Millwall (29 Aug 26).

Millwall vs Southampton head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Millwall have won 2 times, Southampton have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 6 goals and Southampton scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, was won 5-1 by Southampton, at home against Millwall. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 1 clean sheet and Southampton kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 57% 5th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 19% of xG 21st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 17% of shots 14th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 35% against 19%.
  • Southampton see much more of the ball than Millwall, 57% against 49%.
  • Millwall go more through the air than Southampton, 22% of shots against 17%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Southampton
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 376 (41.8 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
3530 (353.0 avg) Passes 5262 (526.2 avg)
2608 (74%) Pass Accuracy 4555 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Southampton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 109 (10.9 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 81 (8.1 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 28 (3.1 avg)
531 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 386 (38.6 avg)
243 (24.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 104 (10.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)