Millwall vs Watford

Wed 17 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Millwall win · Most likely 54.7%
Draw 25.1%
Watford win 20.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Millwall clean sheet 37%Avg 28%
Watford clean sheet 18%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Millwall
  • Watford

Did you know?

  • Watford have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Watford 0–2 Millwall
22 Sep 25 Millwall 1–0 Watford
08 Mar 25 Watford 1–2 Millwall
10 Aug 24 Millwall 2–3 Watford
02 Mar 24 Millwall 1–0 Watford
28 Oct 23 Watford 2–2 Millwall
26 Dec 22 Watford 0–2 Millwall
19 Oct 22 Millwall 3–0 Watford
8meetings
  • Millwall win · 6 (75%)
  • Draw · 1 (12%)
  • Watford win · 1 (12%)
Avg. total goals 2.62 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.12 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.12 League avg: 3.82
Millwall avg. goals 1.88 League avg: 1.31
Watford avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 3–0 Watford (19 Oct 22).

Millwall vs Watford head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Millwall have won 6 times, Watford have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Millwall scored 15 goals and Watford scored 6 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 2-0 by Millwall, away at Watford. Millwall have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 5 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 13th of 24 45% 21st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24 0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 6th of 24 23% of xG 13th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 7th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall wait for better chances than Watford, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Millwall go more through the air than Watford, 22% of shots against 14%.
  • Millwall see much more of the ball than Watford, 49% against 45%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Millwall Watford
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 119 (11.9 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 39 (3.9 avg)
913 (91.3 avg) Attacks 754 (75.4 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 342 (34.2 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Key Passes 79 (7.9 avg)
3530 (353.0 avg) Passes 3905 (390.5 avg)
2608 (74%) Pass Accuracy 3161 (81%)
47% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Millwall Watford
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
531 (53.1 avg) Duels Won 451 (45.1 avg)
243 (24.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 139 (13.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)