Monza
vs
Cagliari
Mon 19 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Monza. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Monza
- Cagliari
Did you know?
- Monza's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- Monza have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
- Monza have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.
- Monza have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
H2H
All 4 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 25 | Cagliari |
3–0 | Monza |
| 05 Jan 25 | Monza |
1–2 | Cagliari |
| 16 Mar 24 | Monza |
1–0 | Cagliari |
| 26 Nov 23 | Cagliari |
1–1 | Monza |
- Monza win · 1 (25%)
- Draw · 1 (25%)
- Cagliari win · 2 (50%)
Biggest win: Cagliari 3–0 Monza (30 Mar 25).
Monza vs Cagliari head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Monza have won once, Cagliari have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. Monza scored 3 goals and Cagliari scored 6 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 30 Mar 2025, was won 3-0 by Cagliari, at home against Monza. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Monza kept 1 clean sheet and Cagliari kept 1.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Monza
Cagliari
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Monza
Cagliari
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 10 (100%)
- Over · 0 (0%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Match Outlook
Monza sit 16th in the table going into this one, with Cagliari 5th. Monza have lost 3 of their last 5 (LWLDL), scoring 8 and conceding 11, and have won 1 of their last 10 at home. Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWL), scoring 5 and conceding 3, and have won 4 of their last 10 on the road. Monza are without Lorenzo Lucchesi (ever present), plus 3 other absentees. Cagliari have no key players missing. In attack, Gustavo Varela (4 goals) leads the way for Monza and Daniel Maldini (4 goals) for Cagliari. There is little to separate the two sides, and a draw is a real possibility (Cagliari win 37%, draw 29%, Monza win 34%). A fairly typical number of goals is expected, with 0-1 the most likely score.
-
Monza
Unavailable
Lorenzo Lucchesi
ever present
Monza
Previous 10 Matches
LWLLLLDLWLPrevious 10 Matches
LDLDLLLLLWPrevious 10 Matches
LLLLWLLDLLForm & stats (Last 10)
16th in the league · 4 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLLLDLWL | 0.70 |
| Home | LDLDLLLLLW | 0.50 |
| Away | LLLLWLLDLL | 0.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.59 | 2.51 | 2.67 |
| Scored/game | 1.03 | 1.10 | 0.97 |
| Conceded/game | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 56% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 27% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.11 | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| xG against/game | 1.62 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| npxG/game | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.4 | 14.0 | 14.8 |
| Led at half-time | 22% | 22% | 21% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 2% | 0% | 4% |
Cagliari
Previous 10 Matches
DLWWWLWWWDPrevious 10 Matches
DLLWWLWLWDPrevious 10 Matches
LDLLLDWWWWForm & stats (Last 10)
5th in the league · 13 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLWWWLWWWD | 2.00 |
| Home | DLLWWLWLWD | 1.40 |
| Away | LDLLLDWWWW | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 32% | 18% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.61 | 2.73 | 2.49 |
| Scored/game | 1.08 | 1.27 | 0.88 |
| Conceded/game | 1.53 | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 18% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 35% | 29% | 40% |
| xG/game | 1.15 | 1.30 | 0.99 |
| xG against/game | 1.67 | 1.49 | 1.85 |
| npxG/game | 1.06 | 1.22 | 0.90 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.7 | 13.9 | 15.4 |
| Led at half-time | 20% | 26% | 14% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 7% | 14% | 2% |
League standings
Monza are 16th with 4 points. Cagliari are 5th with 13 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Frosinone |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cagliari |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Milan |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Como |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia |
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- Jan Ziolkowski Injured · Heel Spur (6 games missed)
- Matteo Pessina Injured · Knee Injury (10 games missed)
- Patrick Ciurria Injured · Unknown Injury (10 games missed)
- Lorenzo Lucchesi Unavailable · Red Card Suspension (0 games missed)
Out / doubtful
- Mattia Felici Injured · Cruciate Ligament Tear (3 games missed)
- Riyad Idrissi Injured · Cruciate Ligament Tear (22 games missed)
- Yael Trepy Injured · Unknown Injury (7 games missed)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 020 4 5
- Ricardo Mangas 100 1 6
- Andrea Colpani 0–– 1 4
Cagliari
- Daniel Maldini 111 4 6
- Paul Mendy 100 1 6
- Alessandro Romano 000 1 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 120 5 5
- Dany Mota –04 5 4
- Samuele Birindelli 110 4 6
Cagliari
- Daniel Maldini 211 5 6
- Alessandro Romano 110 5 6
- Paul Mendy 100 3 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 231 12 5
- Samuele Birindelli 124 10 6
- Dany Mota –05 9 4
Cagliari
- Daniel Maldini 212 12 6
- Paul Mendy 120 9 6
- Alessandro Romano 111 8 6
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 001 2Y 1R 6
- Eddy Kouadio 010 2Y 6
- Michael Folorunsho 010 2Y 5
Cagliari
- Alessandro Deiola 001 3Y 6
- Kevin Carlos 00– 1Y 3
- Juan Rodríguez 001 1Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 212 11 6
- Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 310 9 5
- Eddy Kouadio 222 8 6
Cagliari
- Paul Mendy 232 11 6
- Alessandro Romano 020 6 6
- Harry Winks 200 5 6
Most tackles
Tackles made
Monza
- Eddy Kouadio 714 15 6
- Andrea Carboni 241 9 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 320 8 6
Cagliari
- Adam Obert 525 16 6
- Alessandro Romano 042 13 6
- Alessandro Deiola 312 11 6
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Monza
- Eddy Kouadio 224 19 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 401 14 6
- Ricardo Mangas 001 5 6
Cagliari
- Harry Winks 420 10 6
- Juan Rodríguez 211 10 6
- Daniel Maldini 212 7 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Monza
- Andrea Carboni 851 26 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 761 23 6
- Eddy Kouadio 934 21 6
Cagliari
- Paul Mendy 637 27 6
- Adam Obert 557 24 6
- Alessandro Romano 045 23 6
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 001 6 6
- Eddy Kouadio 031 5 6
- Andrea Carboni 010 3 6
Cagliari
- Juan Rodríguez 320 7 6
- Harry Winks 102 5 6
- Alessandro Deiola 210 5 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Monza
- Samuele Birindelli 323 11 6
- Ricardo Mangas 112 10 6
- Gustavo Varela 330 6 5
Cagliari
- Michel Adopo 201 9 6
- Daniel Maldini 011 6 6
- Paul Mendy 012 5 6
Referee
ACAndrea Calzavara
3 matches on file in this leagueLeans 0.3 more cards/game on the away side.
Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Monza
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
100.0%
-
2
Monza
Team Over 1.5 Offsides
83.3%
-
3
Cagliari
To Win or Draw (Double Chance)
80.0%
-
4
Monza
To Score
80.0%
-
5
Monza
Both Teams to Score
80.0%
-
1
EC
Elia Caprile
Over 1.5 Saves
100.0%
-
2
LL
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
100.0%
-
3
AO
Adam Obert
Over 1.5 Tackles
90.0%
-
4
SB
Samuele Birindelli
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
66.7%
-
5
PM
Paul Mendy
Over 1.5 Shots
50.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
5 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
-
888sport
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.38
3.00
3.00
-
Bet Victor
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
3.25
3.00
-
Betano (UK)
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
3.25
3.00
-
Betfair
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.56
3.20
3.25
-
Betfair Sportsbook
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.50
3.10
3.20
-
Betfred (UK)
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.20
3.10
-
Betway
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.38
3.10
3.00
-
BoyleSports
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.25
3.10
2.90
-
Casumo
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.35
3.05
3.15
-
Coral
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
3.20
3.20
-
Grosvenor
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.38
3.10
3.20
-
Ladbrokes
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
3.20
3.20
-
LeoVegas
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.10
2.95
-
LiveScore Bet
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
2.95
3.00
-
Matchbook
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.56
3.25
3.25
-
Paddy Power
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.00
3.10
-
Sky Bet
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.00
3.10
-
Smarkets
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.56
3.20
3.25
-
Unibet (UK)
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.40
3.20
3.10
-
Virgin Bet
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.30
2.95
3.00
-
William Hill
Visit site (opens in a new tab)
2.38
3.00
3.00
Prices updated 18h ago. Prices are for information only and can change at any time. Each link goes to the bookmaker’s own homepage and TotalOdds earns nothing from it. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
Lazio
Sassuolo
Lecce
Parma
Udinese
Inter
AC Milan
Atalanta
Napoli
Como
Torino
Verona
Juventus
Venezia
Bologna
Cremonese
Pisa
Roma
Frosinone
Genoa
Fiorentina