Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Matchweek 7 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Newcastle win · Most likely 46.9%
Draw 26.3%
Aston Villa win 26.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 56%
Newcastle clean sheet 27%Avg 26%
Aston Villa clean sheet 17%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.2%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Newcastle
  • Aston Villa

Did you know?

  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Newcastle's last 10 matches.
  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Aston Villa have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Jan 26 Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa
16 Aug 25 Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle
19 Apr 25 Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle
26 Dec 24 Newcastle 3–0 Aston Villa
30 Jan 24 Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle
12 Aug 23 Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa
15 Apr 23 Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle
29 Oct 22 Newcastle 4–0 Aston Villa
13 Feb 22 Newcastle 1–0 Aston Villa
21 Aug 21 Aston Villa 2–0 Newcastle
12 Mar 21 Newcastle 1–1 Aston Villa
23 Jan 21 Aston Villa 2–0 Newcastle
24 Jun 20 Newcastle 1–1 Aston Villa
25 Nov 19 Aston Villa 2–0 Newcastle
14meetings
  • Newcastle win · 5 (36%)
  • Draw · 3 (21%)
  • Aston Villa win · 6 (43%)
Avg. total goals 2.71 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 36% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 64% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.57 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.21 League avg: 3.91
Newcastle avg. goals 1.36 League avg: 1.42
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.36 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa (12 Aug 23).

Newcastle vs Aston Villa head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Newcastle have won 5 times, Aston Villa have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. Newcastle scored 19 goals and Aston Villa scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Jan 2026, was won 2-0 by Aston Villa, away at Newcastle. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 14 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Newcastle kept 4 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Aston Villa
10 (1.7 avg) Goals 6 (1.0 avg)
69 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 68 (11.3 avg)
24 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 19 (3.2 avg)
16 (2.7 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
28 (4.7 avg) Corners 17 (2.8 avg)
483 (80.5 avg) Attacks 523 (87.2 avg)
244 (40.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 223 (37.2 avg)
55 (9.2 avg) Key Passes 52 (8.7 avg)
2590 (431.7 avg) Passes 2426 (404.3 avg)
2170 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2025 (83%)
52% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Aston Villa
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
13 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Tackles 97 (16.2 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Fouls 64 (10.7 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
282 (47.0 avg) Duels Won 274 (45.7 avg)
92 (15.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 64 (10.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)